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Predictions › Netherlands › FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle
EredivisieSat 24 Oct, 14:30 Netherlands time

FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Stadion Galgenwaard

FC UtrechtHome
2.59 : 1.41
expected goals
PEC ZwolleAway
63%FC Utrecht
19%Draw
19%PEC Zwolle
Eagle safe pickFC Utrecht or Draw
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is FC Utrecht to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26.

Prediction
FC Utrecht to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
FC Utrecht 2.6, PEC Zwolle 1.4
Best bet
FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26
Both teams to score
70%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Utrecht or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Utrecht to win and both score
40% chanceFair price 2.471 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives FC Utrecht 63%, the draw 19% and PEC Zwolle 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    FC Utrecht took 7 points from their last 5 games and PEC Zwolle took 1 from 5. FC Utrecht come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    FC Utrecht won 7 of their last 10 games at home. PEC Zwolle won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    FC Utrecht score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.9. PEC Zwolle score 0.9 and let in 2.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of FC Utrecht games and 11 of PEC Zwolle games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, FC Utrecht won 0 and PEC Zwolle won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended FC Utrecht 1, PEC Zwolle 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Utrecht or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FC Utrechtrecent form-1%
  • PEC Zwollerecent form-4%
FC Utrecht form D L W D LPEC Zwolle form D L L D LHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: FC Utrecht are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

FC Utrecht host PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie on Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 at Stadion Galgenwaard. Our prediction for FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is FC Utrecht to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26.

FC Utrecht form

FC Utrecht have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

PEC Zwolle form

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. FC Utrecht won 0, PEC Zwolle won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished FC Utrecht 1, PEC Zwolle 1.

Our call

We expect FC Utrecht to score about 2.6 goals and PEC Zwolle about 1.4. That points to FC Utrecht to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26. Our bold bet is FC Utrecht to win and both score at 2.47.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FC UtrechtPEC Zwolle
Games played2020
Wins103
Draws46
Losses611
Goals scored3719
Goals conceded3947
Scored per game1.90.9
Conceded per game1.92.4
Home record7W 1D 2L2W 3D 5L
Away record3W 3D 4L1W 3D 6L
Clean sheets30%15%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals91%1.10
Over 2.5 goals76%1.31
Over 3.5 goals57%1.76
Both teams to score70%1.42
FC Utrecht or Draw81%1.23
PEC Zwolle or Draw37%2.67
FC Utrecht to win and Over 2.552%1.92
PEC Zwolle to win and Over 2.515%6.71
FC Utrecht clean sheet24%4.09
PEC Zwolle clean sheet7%13.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.7%
3-17.5%
1-17.1%
2-06.1%
2-26.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Our prediction for FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle is FC Utrecht to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 1-1. We expect FC Utrecht to score 2.6 goals and PEC Zwolle 1.4.

Will both teams score in FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

Both teams to score has a 70% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of FC Utrecht last 20 games and 11 of PEC Zwolle last 20.

How are FC Utrecht playing?

FC Utrecht have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 39 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, L, newest first.

How are PEC Zwolle playing?

PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 47 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when FC Utrecht and PEC Zwolle last met?

It ended FC Utrecht 1, PEC Zwolle 1. In the last 1 meeting FC Utrecht won 0 and PEC Zwolle won 0.

What is the best bet for FC Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?

FC Utrecht or Draw at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in FC Utrecht against PEC Zwolle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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