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Predictions › Turkey › Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor
Super LigSat 17 Oct, 16:00 Turkey time

Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor prediction

Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

FenerbahceHome
2.11 : 1.18
expected goals
AlanyasporAway
58%Fenerbahce
22%Draw
20%Alanyaspor
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Fenerbahce to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fenerbahce 2.1, Alanyaspor 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.521 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fenerbahce 58%, the draw 22% and Alanyaspor 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fenerbahce took 8 points from their last 5 games and Alanyaspor took 10 from 5. Alanyaspor come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fenerbahce won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Alanyaspor won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fenerbahce score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.3. Alanyaspor score 1.4 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Fenerbahce games and 12 of Alanyaspor games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fenerbahce won 1 and Alanyaspor won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Alanyaspor 2, Fenerbahce 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fenerbahcerecent form+1%
  • Alanyasporrecent form+3%
Fenerbahce form W D D L WAlanyaspor form W D W L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor: Fenerbahce are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fenerbahce host Alanyaspor in the Super Lig on Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

Alanyaspor form

Alanyaspor have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fenerbahce won 1, Alanyaspor won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Alanyaspor 2, Fenerbahce 3.

Our call

We expect Fenerbahce to score about 2.1 goals and Alanyaspor about 1.2. That points to Fenerbahce to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5 at 2.52.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FenerbahceAlanyaspor
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws68
Losses46
Goals scored4529
Goals conceded2525
Scored per game2.31.4
Conceded per game1.31.3
Home record6W 4D 1L4W 3D 2L
Away record4W 2D 3L2W 5D 4L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored60%70%
Over 2.5 goals70%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals64%1.56
Over 3.5 goals42%2.39
Both teams to score61%1.63
Fenerbahce or Draw80%1.25
Alanyaspor or Draw42%2.39
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.543%2.35
Alanyaspor to win and Over 2.514%7.33
Fenerbahce clean sheet31%3.25
Alanyaspor clean sheet12%8.28

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-19.8%
2-08.3%
1-07.3%
3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor is Fenerbahce to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Fenerbahce to score 2.1 goals and Alanyaspor 1.2.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Fenerbahce last 20 games and 14 of Alanyaspor last 20.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Alanyaspor playing?

Alanyaspor have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Fenerbahce and Alanyaspor last met?

It ended Alanyaspor 2, Fenerbahce 3. In the last 2 meetings Fenerbahce won 1 and Alanyaspor won 0.

What is the best bet for Fenerbahce vs Alanyaspor?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fenerbahce against Alanyaspor. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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