Predictions › Champions League › Fenerbahce vs Liverpool

Champions LeagueWed 4 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Fenerbahce vs Liverpool prediction

Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

FenerbahceHome

1.46 : 1.92

expected goals

LiverpoolAway

29%Fenerbahce

23%Draw

48%Liverpool

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction: Liverpool to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Fenerbahce 1.5, Liverpool 1.9
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score: 66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

86% chanceFair price 1.172 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Liverpool to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 2.881 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fenerbahce 29%, the draw 23% and Liverpool 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Liverpool the favourite at 1.65.
2
Recent form
Fenerbahce took 10 points from their last 5 games and Liverpool took 12 from 5. Liverpool come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fenerbahce won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Liverpool won 5 of their last 8 on the road.
4
Goals
Fenerbahce score 2.3 goals a game and let in 1.4. Liverpool score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Fenerbahce games and 12 of Liverpool games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fenerbahcerecent form+3%
Liverpoolrecent form+3%
Liverpoolrest between games-5%

Fenerbahce form D W L W WLiverpool form D W W W LHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fenerbahce vs Liverpool: Liverpool are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fenerbahce host Liverpool in the Champions League on Wed 4 Nov, 17:45 at Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium. Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fenerbahce to score about 1.5 goals and Liverpool about 1.9. That points to Liverpool to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is Liverpool to win and Over 2.5 at 2.88.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fenerbahce	Liverpool
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	5	4
Goals scored	45	39
Goals conceded	27	29
Scored per game	2.3	1.9
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	6W 4D 1L	6W 4D 2L
Away record	4W 1D 4L	5W 1D 2L
Clean sheets	40%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Fenerbahce to win	28%	3.62	4.50	+24.2%
A Draw	23%	4.42	4.20	-5.0%
Liverpool to win	46%	2.19	1.65	-24.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.17
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 3.5 goals	44%	2.29
Both teams to score	66%	1.51
Fenerbahce or Draw	52%	1.92
Liverpool or Draw	71%	1.41
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.80
Liverpool to win and Over 2.5	36%	2.81
Fenerbahce clean sheet	15%	6.80
Liverpool clean sheet	23%	4.30

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.1%

1-29.2%

2-17.0%

2-26.7%

0-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Premier League

English Giants Track Lennart Karl While Milan Target Leny Yoro

Premier League clubs are monitoring Lennart Karl, while AC Milan target Leny Yoro and Tottenham face interest in Pedro Porro.

12 hours ago

Serie A

Curtis Jones Settles at Inter Milan and Talks Serie A Challenge

Curtis Jones says playing for Inter Milan is similar to Liverpool while the Italian side faces a fresh injury setback.

24 Oct 2026

Premier League

Ronald Araújo Impresses at Liverpool as Loan Move Pays Off

Ronald Araújo is thriving on loan at Liverpool from Barcelona, scoring twice in 11 games while adapting to multiple defensive roles.

21 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Our prediction for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool is Liverpool to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Fenerbahce to score 1.5 goals and Liverpool 1.9.

Will both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Fenerbahce last 20 games and 13 of Liverpool last 20.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

How are Liverpool playing?

What is the best bet for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fenerbahce against Liverpool. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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