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Predictions › Europa League › Ferencvaros vs Torreense
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Ferencvaros vs Torreense prediction

Groupama Arena

FerencvarosHome
1.57 : 0.97
expected goals
TorreenseAway
51%Ferencvaros
27%Draw
23%Torreense
Eagle safe pickFerencvaros or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Torreense is Ferencvaros to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
Ferencvaros to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Ferencvaros 1.6, Torreense 1.0
Best bet
Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ferencvaros or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Ferencvaros 51%, the draw 27% and Torreense 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Ferencvaros took 9 points from their last 5 games and Torreense took 3 from 1. Ferencvaros come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Ferencvaros score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Torreense score 2.0 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Ferencvaros games and 1 of Torreense games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Ferencvaros or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ferencvarosrecent form+6%
  • Torreenserecent form+3%
  • Ferencvarosrest between games-3%
  • Torreenserest between games-3%
Ferencvaros form W W W D WTorreense form W L W D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ferencvaros vs Torreense: Ferencvaros are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ferencvaros host Torreense in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Groupama Arena. Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Torreense is Ferencvaros to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31.

Ferencvaros form

Ferencvaros have 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Torreense form

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Ferencvaros to score about 1.6 goals and Torreense about 1.0. That points to Ferencvaros to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.5 at 3.66.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

FerencvarosTorreense
Games played131
Wins71
Draws30
Losses30
Goals scored202
Goals conceded181
Scored per game1.52.0
Conceded per game1.41.0
Home record4W 2D 0Ln/a
Away record3W 1D 3L1W 0D 0L
Clean sheets23%0%
Both teams scored62%100%
Over 2.5 goals54%100%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Over 3.5 goals25%3.98
Both teams to score50%2.01
Ferencvaros or Draw77%1.29
Torreense or Draw49%2.03
Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.529%3.41
Torreense to win and Over 2.512%8.37
Ferencvaros clean sheet38%2.63
Torreense clean sheet21%4.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-011.7%
2-09.7%
2-19.4%
0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ferencvaros vs Torreense?

Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Torreense is Ferencvaros to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Ferencvaros vs Torreense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Ferencvaros to score 1.6 goals and Torreense 1.0.

Will both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Torreense?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Ferencvaros last 13 games and 1 of Torreense last 1.

How are Ferencvaros playing?

Ferencvaros have 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Torreense playing?

Torreense have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses from 1. Their last 1 results read W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Ferencvaros vs Torreense?

Ferencvaros or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ferencvaros against Torreense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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