Predictions › Europa League › Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen

Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen prediction

Groupama Arena

FerencvarosHome

1.66 : 1.16

expected goals

Viktoria PlzenAway

48%Ferencvaros

26%Draw

26%Viktoria Plzen

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen is Ferencvaros to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction: Ferencvaros to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Ferencvaros 1.7, Viktoria Plzen 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score: 56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 1.312 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.5

31% chanceFair price 3.271 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Ferencvaros 48%, the draw 26% and Viktoria Plzen 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Ferencvaros the favourite at 1.95.
2
Recent form
Ferencvaros took 9 points from their last 5 games and Viktoria Plzen took 6 from 5. Ferencvaros come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Ferencvaros won 4 of their last 6 games at home. Viktoria Plzen won 2 of their last 5 on the road.
4
Goals
Ferencvaros score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.4. Viktoria Plzen score 1.0 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Ferencvaros games and 4 of Viktoria Plzen games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Ferencvaros won 0 and Viktoria Plzen won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Ferencvaros 1, Viktoria Plzen 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Ferencvarosrecent form+6%
Viktoria Plzenrecent form-3%

Ferencvaros form W W W D WViktoria Plzen form L W L L DHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen: Ferencvaros are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Ferencvaros host Viktoria Plzen in the Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 19:00 at Groupama Arena. Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen is Ferencvaros to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Ferencvaros form

Ferencvaros have 7 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 20 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Viktoria Plzen form

Viktoria Plzen have 3 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss in their last 11 games, with 11 goals scored and 9 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Ferencvaros won 0, Viktoria Plzen won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Ferencvaros 1, Viktoria Plzen 1.

Our call

We expect Ferencvaros to score about 1.7 goals and Viktoria Plzen about 1.2. That points to Ferencvaros to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

	Ferencvaros	Viktoria Plzen
Games played	13	11
Wins	7	3
Draws	3	7
Losses	3	1
Goals scored	20	11
Goals conceded	18	9
Scored per game	1.5	1.0
Conceded per game	1.4	0.8
Home record	4W 2D 0L	1W 4D 1L
Away record	3W 1D 3L	2W 3D 0L
Clean sheets	23%	45%
Both teams scored	62%	45%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	36%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Ferencvaros to win	46%	2.19	1.95	-11.0%
A Draw	25%	3.96	3.85	-2.7%
Viktoria Plzen to win	26%	3.90	3.45	-11.5%
Over 2.5 goals	53%	1.88	1.63	-13.7%
Under 2.5 goals	41%	2.42	2.15	-11.1%
Ferencvaros -0.5	46%	2.17	1.83	-15.4%
Viktoria Plzen +0.5	48%	2.07	1.77	-14.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.86
Over 3.5 goals	31%	3.19
Both teams to score	56%	1.77
Ferencvaros or Draw	74%	1.35
Viktoria Plzen or Draw	52%	1.94
Ferencvaros to win and Over 2.5	31%	3.23
Viktoria Plzen to win and Over 2.5	16%	6.33
Ferencvaros clean sheet	31%	3.20
Viktoria Plzen clean sheet	19%	5.27

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.1%

2-19.5%

1-09.2%

2-08.2%

1-26.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?

Our prediction for Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen is Ferencvaros to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Ferencvaros to score 1.7 goals and Viktoria Plzen 1.2.

Will both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Ferencvaros last 13 games and 5 of Viktoria Plzen last 11.

How are Ferencvaros playing?

How are Viktoria Plzen playing?

What happened when Ferencvaros and Viktoria Plzen last met?

It ended Ferencvaros 1, Viktoria Plzen 1. In the last 1 meeting Ferencvaros won 0 and Viktoria Plzen won 0.

What is the best bet for Ferencvaros vs Viktoria Plzen?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Ferencvaros against Viktoria Plzen. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.