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Predictions › Champions League › Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como
Champions LeagueWed 14 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como prediction

De Kuip

Feyenoord RotterdamHome
1.54 : 1.99
expected goals
ComoAway
29%Feyenoord
23%Draw
48%Como
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como is Como to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Como to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Feyenoord Rotterdam 1.5, Como 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Como to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Feyenoord Rotterdam 29%, the draw 23% and Como 48%. The bookmakers agree and make Como the favourite at 1.87.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Feyenoord Rotterdam took 10 points from their last 5 games and Como took 12 from 5. Como come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Feyenoord Rotterdam won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Como won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Feyenoord Rotterdam score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. Como score 2.0 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Feyenoord Rotterdam games and 11 of Como games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Feyenoordrecent form+3%
  • Comorecent form+4%
Feyenoord form W W L W DComo form L W W W WHome edge in this league 32% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como: Como are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Feyenoord Rotterdam host Como in the Champions League on Wed 14 Oct, 16:45 at De Kuip. Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como is Como to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Feyenoord Rotterdam form

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Como form

Como have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Feyenoord Rotterdam to score about 1.5 goals and Como about 2.0. That points to Como to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Como to win and Over 2.5 at 2.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FeyenoordComo
Games played2020
Wins1113
Draws74
Losses23
Goals scored4440
Goals conceded2418
Scored per game2.22.0
Conceded per game1.20.9
Home record5W 4D 0L6W 1D 1L
Away record6W 3D 2L7W 3D 2L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win29%3.483.40-2.3%
A Draw22%4.544.10-9.7%
Como to win45%2.211.87-15.6%
Over 3.5 goals43%2.312.05-11.2%
Under 3.5 goals51%1.961.71-12.5%
Feyenoord Rotterdam +0.547%2.121.83-13.5%
Como -0.547%2.121.77-16.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals69%1.46
Over 3.5 goals47%2.12
Both teams to score68%1.46
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw52%1.92
Como or Draw71%1.42
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.522%4.54
Como to win and Over 2.537%2.72
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet14%7.35
Como clean sheet21%4.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.5%
1-28.9%
2-16.9%
2-26.9%
1-35.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como?

Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como is Como to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 1.5 goals and Como 2.0.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam last 20 games and 12 of Como last 20.

How are Feyenoord Rotterdam playing?

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Como playing?

Como have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Como?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Feyenoord against Como. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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