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Predictions › Netherlands › Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior
EredivisieSat 21 Nov, 17:45 Netherlands time

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior prediction

De Kuip

Feyenoord RotterdamHome
2.85 : 1.19
expected goals
ExcelsiorAway
71%Feyenoord
16%Draw
13%Excelsior
Eagle safe pickFeyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win
Chance
71%
Most likely score
2-1
Expected goals
Feyenoord Rotterdam 2.9, Excelsior 1.2
Best bet
Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
66%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and both score
41% chanceFair price 2.421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Feyenoord Rotterdam 71%, the draw 16% and Excelsior 13%. The bookmakers agree and make Feyenoord Rotterdam the favourite at 1.18.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Feyenoord Rotterdam took 2 points from their last 5 games and Excelsior took 0 from 5. Feyenoord Rotterdam come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Feyenoord Rotterdam won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Excelsior won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Feyenoord Rotterdam score 2.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Excelsior score 1.6 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam games and 15 of Excelsior games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1 and Excelsior won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Feyenoord Rotterdam 2, Excelsior 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Feyenoordrecent form-4%
  • Excelsiorrecent form-4%
Feyenoord form L L D D LExcelsior form L L W L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior: Feyenoord Rotterdam are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Feyenoord Rotterdam host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sat 21 Nov, 17:45 at De Kuip. Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19.

Feyenoord Rotterdam form

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Excelsior form

Excelsior have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1, Excelsior won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Feyenoord Rotterdam 2, Excelsior 1.

Our call

We expect Feyenoord Rotterdam to score about 2.9 goals and Excelsior about 1.2. That points to Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and both score at 2.42.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FeyenoordExcelsior
Games played2020
Wins116
Draws55
Losses49
Goals scored4832
Goals conceded3141
Scored per game2.41.6
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record4W 4D 1L2W 1D 6L
Away record7W 1D 3L4W 4D 3L
Clean sheets25%15%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win73%1.371.18-13.7%
A Draw15%6.707.50+12.0%
Excelsior to win12%8.3210.50+26.2%
Over 3.5 goals49%2.041.77-13.5%
Under 3.5 goals44%2.271.87-17.5%
Feyenoord Rotterdam -2.538%2.672.20-17.5%
Excelsior +2.557%1.761.54-12.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.30
Over 3.5 goals58%1.74
Both teams to score66%1.51
Feyenoord Rotterdam or Draw87%1.15
Excelsior or Draw29%3.48
Feyenoord Rotterdam to win and Over 2.560%1.68
Excelsior to win and Over 2.510%10.13
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet30%3.30
Excelsior clean sheet6%17.31

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-18.5%
3-18.1%
2-07.1%
3-06.8%
1-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior?

Our prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior is Feyenoord Rotterdam to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 3-1 and 2-0. We expect Feyenoord Rotterdam to score 2.9 goals and Excelsior 1.2.

Will both teams score in Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior?

Both teams to score has a 66% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Feyenoord Rotterdam last 20 games and 12 of Excelsior last 20.

How are Feyenoord Rotterdam playing?

Feyenoord Rotterdam have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 48 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Excelsior playing?

Excelsior have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 41 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Feyenoord Rotterdam and Excelsior last met?

It ended Feyenoord Rotterdam 2, Excelsior 1. In the last 1 meeting Feyenoord Rotterdam won 1 and Excelsior won 0.

What is the best bet for Feyenoord Rotterdam vs Excelsior?

Feyenoord Rotterdam draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Feyenoord against Excelsior. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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