Predictions › Italy › Fiorentina vs Juventus

Serie ASun 8 Nov, 19:45 Italy time

Fiorentina vs Juventus prediction

Stadio Artemio Franchi

FiorentinaHome

0.84 : 1.37

expected goals

JuventusAway

22%Fiorentina

29%Draw

48%Juventus

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction: Juventus to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals: Fiorentina 0.8, Juventus 1.4
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.222 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1

14% chanceFair price 7.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fiorentina 22%, the draw 29% and Juventus 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Fiorentina took 2 points from their last 5 games and Juventus took 7 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fiorentina won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Juventus won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Fiorentina score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Juventus score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fiorentina games and 6 of Juventus games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 1 and Juventus won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Juventus 0, Fiorentina 2.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fiorentinarecent form-4%
Juventusrecent form+1%
Fiorentinarest between games-5%
Juventusrest between games-5%

Fiorentina form D L L L DJuventus form D W D L WHome edge in this league 10% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fiorentina vs Juventus: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fiorentina host Juventus in the Serie A on Sun 8 Nov, 19:45 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Fiorentina form

Fiorentina have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Juventus form

Juventus have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fiorentina won 1, Juventus won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Juventus 0, Fiorentina 2.

Our call

We expect Fiorentina to score about 0.8 goals and Juventus about 1.4. That points to Juventus to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 7.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fiorentina	Juventus
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	10
Draws	7	6
Losses	8	4
Goals scored	20	29
Goals conceded	32	18
Scored per game	1.0	1.4
Conceded per game	1.6	0.9
Home record	2W 6D 3L	5W 3D 2L
Away record	3W 1D 5L	5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	25%	50%
Both teams scored	55%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 2.5 goals	38%	2.63
Over 3.5 goals	18%	5.46
Both teams to score	43%	2.31
Fiorentina or Draw	52%	1.94
Juventus or Draw	78%	1.29
Fiorentina to win and Over 2.5	10%	10.03
Juventus to win and Over 2.5	24%	4.18
Fiorentina clean sheet	25%	3.93
Juventus clean sheet	43%	2.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.2%

1-113.4%

0-011.7%

0-210.3%

1-28.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Bundesliga

Big Clubs Battle for Juventus Winger Kenan Yildiz

Arsenal, Real Madrid, and Bayern Munich are all chasing Juventus winger Kenan Yildiz as transfer rumors heat up across Europe.

4 Oct 2026

Serie A

Real Madrid Loanee Breaks Lionel Messi Record in Italy

On loan Real Madrid winger Franco Mastantuono became the youngest Argentine to score a hat trick in Europe's top leagues during Fiorentina's win.

12 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Fiorentina to score 0.8 goals and Juventus 1.4.

Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Fiorentina last 20 games and 7 of Juventus last 20.

How are Fiorentina playing?

How are Juventus playing?

What happened when Fiorentina and Juventus last met?

It ended Juventus 0, Fiorentina 2. In the last 2 meetings Fiorentina won 1 and Juventus won 0.

What is the best bet for Fiorentina vs Juventus?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fiorentina against Juventus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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