EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Copa Libertadores › Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Copa LibertadoresFri 23 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction

Estadio do Maracana

FlamengoHome
1.36 : 0.56
expected goals
Estudiantes de La PlataAway
56%Flamengo
29%Draw
15%Estudiantes
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Flamengo to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
Flamengo to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Flamengo 1.4, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.6
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
33%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
19% chanceFair price 5.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Flamengo 56%, the draw 29% and Estudiantes de La Plata 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Flamengo took 11 points from their last 5 games and Estudiantes de La Plata took 10 from 5. Flamengo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Flamengo won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Estudiantes de La Plata won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Flamengo score 1.9 goals a game and let in 0.8. Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Flamengo games and 7 of Estudiantes de La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Flamengo won 2 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Flamengo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamengorecent form+3%
  • Estudiantesrecent form-3%
  • Flamengorest between games-5%
  • Estudiantesrest between games-2%
Flamengo form D D W D WEstudiantes form D W L L LHome edge in this league 37% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Flamengo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Flamengo host Estudiantes de La Plata in the Copa Libertadores on Fri 23 Oct, 00:30 at Estadio do Maracana. Our prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Flamengo to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

Flamengo form

Flamengo have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Flamengo won 2, Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Flamengo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0.

Our call

We expect Flamengo to score about 1.4 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata about 0.6. That points to Flamengo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 5.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamengoEstudiantes
Games played2020
Wins137
Draws55
Losses28
Goals scored3923
Goals conceded1518
Scored per game1.91.1
Conceded per game0.80.9
Home record9W 2D 1L5W 3D 2L
Away record4W 3D 1L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets45%35%
Both teams scored50%30%
Over 2.5 goals55%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals58%1.72
Over 2.5 goals30%3.29
Over 3.5 goals13%7.67
Both teams to score33%3.05
Flamengo or Draw85%1.17
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw44%2.27
Flamengo to win and Over 2.523%4.31
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.55%20.64
Flamengo clean sheet57%1.76
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet26%3.92

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-019.2%
0-015.2%
2-013.5%
1-111.9%
2-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Flamengo to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 2-0. We expect Flamengo to score 1.4 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata 0.6.

Will both teams score in Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 33% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Flamengo last 20 games and 6 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20.

How are Flamengo playing?

Flamengo have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 18 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Flamengo and Estudiantes de La Plata last met?

It ended Flamengo 1, Estudiantes de La Plata 0. In the last 4 meetings Flamengo won 2 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 1.

What is the best bet for Flamengo vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flamengo against Estudiantes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.