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Predictions › United Kingdom › Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale
FA CupSat 7 Nov, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale prediction

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood TownHome
1.96 : 1.26
expected goals
RochdaleAway
53%Fleetwood Town
23%Draw
24%Rochdale
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/11

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale is Fleetwood Town to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Prediction
Fleetwood Town to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fleetwood Town 2.0, Rochdale 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/11
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 2/112 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fleetwood Town to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 13/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fleetwood Town 53%, the draw 23% and Rochdale 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fleetwood Town took 10 points from their last 5 games and Rochdale took 1 from 2. Fleetwood Town come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Fleetwood Town score 1.6 goals a game and let in 0.7. Rochdale score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Fleetwood Town games and 1 of Rochdale games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fleetwood Townrecent form-1%
  • Rochdalerecent form-3%
  • Fleetwood Townrest between games-5%
  • Rochdalerest between games-3%
Fleetwood Town form D L L W DRochdale form D D L D LHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: Fleetwood Town are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fleetwood Town host Rochdale in the FA Cup on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 at Highbury Stadium. Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale is Fleetwood Town to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

Fleetwood Town form

Fleetwood Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Rochdale form

Rochdale have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 2 results read L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fleetwood Town to score about 2.0 goals and Rochdale about 1.3. That points to Fleetwood Town to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11. Our bold bet is Fleetwood Town to win and Over 2.5 at 13/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 7 games in all competitions.

Fleetwood TownRochdale
Games played72
Wins40
Draws21
Losses11
Goals scored112
Goals conceded54
Scored per game1.61.0
Conceded per game0.72.0
Home record4W 2D 0Ln/a
Away record0W 0D 1L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets43%0%
Both teams scored43%50%
Over 2.5 goals43%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1/5
Over 2.5 goals63%8/13
Over 3.5 goals40%6/4
Both teams to score62%8/13
Fleetwood Town or Draw76%3/10
Rochdale or Draw47%11/10
Fleetwood Town to win and Over 2.538%13/8
Rochdale to win and Over 2.516%5/1
Fleetwood Town clean sheet28%5/2
Rochdale clean sheet14%6/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%
1-07.2%
3-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Our prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale is Fleetwood Town to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/11.

What is the score prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Fleetwood Town to score 2.0 goals and Rochdale 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 3 of Fleetwood Town last 7 games and 1 of Rochdale last 2.

How are Fleetwood Town playing?

Fleetwood Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 7 games, with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Rochdale playing?

Rochdale have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 2 goals scored and 4 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 2 results read L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/11, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fleetwood Town against Rochdale. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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