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Predictions › United States › Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 12:00 United States time

Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights prediction

Michie Stadium

Florida Atlantic OwlsAway
23.4 : 36.8
projected points
Army Black KnightsHome
22%FAU
78%Army
Eagle safe pickArmy to win
-351

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 23.4 and Army Black Knights 36.8. Our best bet is Army to win at -351.

Prediction
Army Black Knights to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Florida Atlantic Owls 23, Army Black Knights 37
Projected total
60.1 points
Best bet
Army to win at -351

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Army to win
78% chanceFair price -3512 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Army Black Knights 78% and Florida Atlantic Owls 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Army Black Knights won 3 of their last 5 and Florida Atlantic Owls won 4 of their last 5. Florida Atlantic Owls come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Army Black Knights won 4 of their last 7 games at home. Florida Atlantic Owls won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Army Black Knights score 26.1 points a game and let in 20.6. Florida Atlantic Owls score 31.8 and let in 34.4. Their recent games average 46.7 and 66.2 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Army to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights: Army Black Knights are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Army Black Knights host Florida Atlantic Owls in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 at Michie Stadium. Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 23.4 and Army Black Knights 36.8. Our best bet is Army to win at -351.

Army Black Knights form

Army Black Knights have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 392 points scored and 309 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 477 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Florida Atlantic Owls to score about 23.4 points and Army Black Knights about 36.8. That points to Army Black Knights to win. Our safest bet is Army to win at -351.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

ArmyFAU
Games played1515
Wins87
Losses78
Points scored392477
Points conceded309516
Scored per game26.131.8
Conceded per game20.634.4
Home record4W 3L5W 3L
Away record4W 4L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Army spreadCoversFair
Army -20.533%+204
Army -16.542%+136
Army -13.550%+101
Army -10.557%-134
Army -6.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
53.566%34%
57.557%43%
60.549%51%
63.542%58%
67.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Army +3.5 wins if Army win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?

Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights is Army Black Knights to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 23.4 and Army Black Knights 36.8. Our best bet is Army to win at -351.

What is the projected score for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?

We project Florida Atlantic Owls 23.4 and Army Black Knights 36.8, about 60.1 points in total.

How are Army Black Knights playing?

Army Black Knights have 8 wins and 7 losses in their last 15 games, with 392 points scored and 309 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 8 losses in their last 15 games, with 477 points scored and 516 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Florida Atlantic Owls vs Army Black Knights?

Army to win at -351, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Army against FAU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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