Predictions › United States › Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green
College FootballThu 29 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green prediction

DATCU Stadium

Florida Atlantic OwlsAway
22.2 : 48.0
projected points
North Texas Mean GreenHome
6%FAU
94%North Texas
Eagle safe pickNorth Texas -15.5
-302

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 94% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 22.2 and North Texas Mean Green 48.0. Our best bet is North Texas -15.5 at -302.

Prediction
North Texas Mean Green to win
Chance
94%
Projected score
Florida Atlantic Owls 22, North Texas Mean Green 48
Projected total
70.2 points
Best bet
North Texas -15.5 at -302

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

North Texas -15.5
75% chanceFair price -3022 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Texas Mean Green 94% and Florida Atlantic Owls 6%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Texas Mean Green won 4 of their last 5 and Florida Atlantic Owls won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Texas Mean Green won 8 of their last 9 games at home. Florida Atlantic Owls won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Texas Mean Green score 44.4 points a game and let in 28.7. Florida Atlantic Owls score 31.3 and let in 35.8. Their recent games average 73.1 and 67.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    North Texas -15.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • FAUrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green: North Texas Mean Green are favourites

The big picture

North Texas Mean Green host Florida Atlantic Owls in the College Football on Thu 29 Oct, 19:30 at DATCU Stadium. Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 94% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 22.2 and North Texas Mean Green 48.0. Our best bet is North Texas -15.5 at -302.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 800 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Florida Atlantic Owls form

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 501 points scored and 572 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Florida Atlantic Owls to score about 22.2 points and North Texas Mean Green about 48.0. That points to North Texas Mean Green to win. Our safest bet is North Texas -15.5 at -302.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

North TexasFAU
Games played1816
Wins147
Losses49
Points scored800501
Points conceded516572
Scored per game44.431.3
Conceded per game28.735.8
Home record8W 1L5W 3L
Away record6W 3L2W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

North Texas spreadCoversFair
North Texas -32.534%+195
North Texas -28.543%+130
North Texas -25.551%-104
North Texas -22.558%-140
North Texas -18.568%-210
Total pointsOverUnder
63.566%34%
67.557%43%
70.549%51%
73.542%58%
77.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. North Texas +3.5 wins if North Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

Our prediction for Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green is North Texas Mean Green to win, with a 94% chance. We project Florida Atlantic Owls 22.2 and North Texas Mean Green 48.0. Our best bet is North Texas -15.5 at -302.

What is the projected score for Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

We project Florida Atlantic Owls 22.2 and North Texas Mean Green 48.0, about 70.2 points in total.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 14 wins and 4 losses in their last 18 games, with 800 points scored and 516 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Florida Atlantic Owls playing?

Florida Atlantic Owls have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 501 points scored and 572 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Florida Atlantic Owls vs North Texas Mean Green?

North Texas -15.5 at -302, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in North Texas against FAU. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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