Florida Panthers vs Anaheim Ducks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Ducks +1.5

75% chancePrice -230+7.8% value2 units

★

Eagle value pick

Ducks +1.5

75% chancePrice -230+7.8% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Anaheim Ducks 45% and Florida Panthers 55%. The bookmakers agree and make Florida Panthers the favourite at -125.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Anaheim Ducks won 1 of their last 5 and Florida Panthers won 3 of their last 5. Florida Panthers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Anaheim Ducks won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Florida Panthers won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Anaheim Ducks score 3.1 goals a game and let in 3.7. Florida Panthers score 3.4 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.8 and 6.8 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, Anaheim Ducks won 2 and Florida Panthers won 0. The last one ended Anaheim Ducks 7, Florida Panthers 3.

6. 6
   Where the value is

   Ducks +1.5 is priced at -230. Our fair price is -302, so the bookmaker pays about 7.8% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ducks +3.5 wins if Ducks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.