Florida Panthers vs San Jose Sharks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Sharks +1.5

74% chancePrice -218+8.6% value3 units

★

Eagle value pick

Sharks +1.5

74% chancePrice -218+8.6% value3 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives San Jose Sharks 43% and Florida Panthers 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Florida Panthers the favourite at -135.

2. 2
   Recent form

   San Jose Sharks won 3 of their last 5 and Florida Panthers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   San Jose Sharks won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Florida Panthers won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   San Jose Sharks score 3.0 goals a game and let in 3.4. Florida Panthers score 3.4 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.5 and 6.8 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 2 meetings, San Jose Sharks won 2 and Florida Panthers won 0. The last one ended Florida Panthers 1, San Jose Sharks 4.

6. 6
   Where the value is

   Sharks +1.5 is priced at -218. Our fair price is -292, so the bookmaker pays about 8.6% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sharks +3.5 wins if Sharks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.