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Predictions › United States › Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals
College FootballFri 9 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals prediction

L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

Florida State SeminolesAway
23.3 : 36.8
projected points
Louisville CardinalsHome
22%Florida St
78%Louisville
Eagle safe pickLouisville to win
-361

Quick answer

Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 23.3 and Louisville Cardinals 36.8. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -361.

Prediction
Louisville Cardinals to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Florida State Seminoles 23, Louisville Cardinals 37
Projected total
60.1 points
Best bet
Louisville to win at -361

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Louisville to win
78% chanceFair price -3612 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Louisville Cardinals 78% and Florida State Seminoles 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Louisville Cardinals won 3 of their last 5 and Florida State Seminoles won 2 of their last 5. Louisville Cardinals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Louisville Cardinals won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Florida State Seminoles won 0 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Louisville Cardinals score 31.7 points a game and let in 23.9. Florida State Seminoles score 29.7 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 55.6 and 54.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Louisville to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals: Louisville Cardinals are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Louisville Cardinals host Florida State Seminoles in the College Football on Fri 9 Oct, 19:00 at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium. Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 23.3 and Louisville Cardinals 36.8. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -361.

Louisville Cardinals form

Louisville Cardinals have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 359 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Florida State Seminoles form

Florida State Seminoles have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 416 points scored and 345 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Florida State Seminoles to score about 23.3 points and Louisville Cardinals about 36.8. That points to Louisville Cardinals to win. Our safest bet is Louisville to win at -361.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

LouisvilleFlorida St
Games played1514
Wins95
Losses69
Points scored475416
Points conceded359345
Scored per game31.729.7
Conceded per game23.924.6
Home record6W 4L5W 3L
Away record3W 2L0W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Louisville spreadCoversFair
Louisville -20.533%+201
Louisville -16.543%+134
Louisville -13.550%-100
Louisville -10.558%-136
Louisville -6.567%-203
Total pointsOverUnder
53.566%34%
57.556%44%
60.549%51%
63.542%58%
67.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Louisville +3.5 wins if Louisville win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?

Our prediction for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals is Louisville Cardinals to win, with a 78% chance. We project Florida State Seminoles 23.3 and Louisville Cardinals 36.8. Our best bet is Louisville to win at -361.

What is the projected score for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?

We project Florida State Seminoles 23.3 and Louisville Cardinals 36.8, about 60.1 points in total.

How are Louisville Cardinals playing?

Louisville Cardinals have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 475 points scored and 359 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Florida State Seminoles playing?

Florida State Seminoles have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 416 points scored and 345 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins and 6 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Florida State Seminoles vs Louisville Cardinals?

Louisville to win at -361, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Louisville against Florida St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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