Predictions › Brazil › Fluminense vs Internacional

BrasileiraoWed 28 Oct, 22:30 Brazil time

Fluminense vs Internacional prediction

Estadio do Maracana

FluminenseHome

1.72 : 0.72

expected goals

InternacionalAway

61%Fluminense

25%Draw

15%Internacional

Eagle safe pickFluminense or Draw

1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional is Fluminense to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.18.

Prediction: Fluminense to win
Chance: 61%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Fluminense 1.7, Internacional 0.7
Best bet: Fluminense or Draw at 1.18
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fluminense or Draw

85% chanceFair price 1.182 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fluminense to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.031 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fluminense 61%, the draw 25% and Internacional 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Fluminense took 6 points from their last 5 games and Internacional took 7 from 5. Internacional come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fluminense won 6 of their last 11 games at home. Internacional won 1 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Fluminense score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Internacional score 1.2 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Fluminense games and 10 of Internacional games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Fluminense won 1 and Internacional won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Internacional 2, Fluminense 0.
6
The safest bet
Fluminense or Draw has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Internacionalrecent form+1%
Fluminenserest between games-5%
Internacionalrest between games-2%

Fluminense form D L L W WInternacional form D D W L WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fluminense vs Internacional: Fluminense are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fluminense host Internacional in the Brasileirao on Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 at Estadio do Maracana. Our prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional is Fluminense to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.18.

Fluminense form

Fluminense have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Internacional form

Internacional have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fluminense won 1, Internacional won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional 2, Fluminense 0.

Our call

We expect Fluminense to score about 1.7 goals and Internacional about 0.7. That points to Fluminense to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.18. Our bold bet is Fluminense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.03.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fluminense	Internacional
Games played	20	20
Wins	7	4
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	9
Goals scored	30	24
Goals conceded	23	30
Scored per game	1.5	1.2
Conceded per game	1.1	1.5
Home record	6W 3D 2L	3W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 5D 3L	1W 4D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	70%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.27
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.35
Both teams to score	43%	2.34
Fluminense or Draw	85%	1.17
Internacional or Draw	39%	2.55
Fluminense to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.98
Internacional to win and Over 2.5	7%	14.84
Fluminense clean sheet	49%	2.05
Internacional clean sheet	18%	5.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.3%

2-012.9%

1-111.4%

0-09.4%

2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fluminense vs Internacional?

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional is Fluminense to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Fluminense vs Internacional?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Fluminense to score 1.7 goals and Internacional 0.7.

Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Internacional?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Fluminense last 20 games and 13 of Internacional last 20.

How are Fluminense playing?

How are Internacional playing?

What happened when Fluminense and Internacional last met?

It ended Internacional 2, Fluminense 0. In the last 2 meetings Fluminense won 1 and Internacional won 1.

What is the best bet for Fluminense vs Internacional?

Fluminense or Draw at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fluminense against Internacional. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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