EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Brazil › Fluminense vs Mirassol
BrasileiraoSun 22 Nov, 21:30 Brazil time

Fluminense vs Mirassol prediction

Estadio do Maracana

FluminenseHome
1.73 : 0.76
expected goals
MirassolAway
60%Fluminense
25%Draw
15%Mirassol
Eagle safe pickFluminense or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Mirassol is Fluminense to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Fluminense to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Fluminense 1.7, Mirassol 0.8
Best bet
Fluminense or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fluminense or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fluminense to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fluminense 60%, the draw 25% and Mirassol 15%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fluminense took 9 points from their last 5 games and Mirassol took 7 from 5. Fluminense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fluminense won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Mirassol won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fluminense score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.1. Mirassol score 1.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Fluminense games and 7 of Mirassol games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Fluminense won 1 and Mirassol won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Mirassol 1, Fluminense 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Fluminense or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fluminenserecent form+1%
  • Mirassolrecent form-1%
Fluminense form W W L W LMirassol form D L D W LHome edge in this league 40% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fluminense vs Mirassol: Fluminense are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fluminense host Mirassol in the Brasileirao on Sun 22 Nov, 21:30 at Estadio do Maracana. Our prediction for Fluminense vs Mirassol is Fluminense to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.19.

Fluminense form

Fluminense have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Mirassol form

Mirassol have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Fluminense won 1, Mirassol won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Mirassol 1, Fluminense 0.

Our call

We expect Fluminense to score about 1.7 goals and Mirassol about 0.8. That points to Fluminense to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Fluminense to win and Over 2.5 at 3.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FluminenseMirassol
Games played2020
Wins96
Draws58
Losses66
Goals scored3122
Goals conceded2226
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record6W 2D 2L4W 4D 1L
Away record3W 3D 4L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored60%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.17
Both teams to score44%2.25
Fluminense or Draw85%1.18
Mirassol or Draw40%2.49
Fluminense to win and Over 2.534%2.96
Mirassol to win and Over 2.57%13.50
Fluminense clean sheet47%2.14
Mirassol clean sheet18%5.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.7%
2-012.4%
1-111.6%
2-19.4%
0-09.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Mirassol is Fluminense to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Fluminense or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Fluminense vs Mirassol?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Fluminense to score 1.7 goals and Mirassol 0.8.

Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Fluminense last 20 games and 13 of Mirassol last 20.

How are Fluminense playing?

Fluminense have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Mirassol playing?

Mirassol have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Fluminense and Mirassol last met?

It ended Mirassol 1, Fluminense 0. In the last 3 meetings Fluminense won 1 and Mirassol won 2.

What is the best bet for Fluminense vs Mirassol?

Fluminense or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fluminense against Mirassol. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.