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Predictions › Colombia › Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera ASun 25 Oct, 19:00 Colombia time

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali prediction

Metropolitano de Techo

Fortaleza CEIFHome
0.88 : 1.26
expected goals
Deportivo CaliAway
25%Fortaleza
30%Draw
44%Cali
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
Deportivo Cali to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Fortaleza CEIF 0.9, Deportivo Cali 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-1
14% chanceFair price 7.121 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fortaleza CEIF 25%, the draw 30% and Deportivo Cali 44%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fortaleza CEIF took 4 points from their last 5 games and Deportivo Cali took 13 from 5. Deportivo Cali come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fortaleza CEIF won 3 of their last 12 games at home. Deportivo Cali won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fortaleza CEIF score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Deportivo Cali score 1.3 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fortaleza CEIF games and 6 of Deportivo Cali games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Deportivo Cali 1, Fortaleza CEIF 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fortalezarecent form-1%
  • Calirecent form+6%
Fortaleza form D D D D LCali form D W W W WHome edge in this league 39% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali: Deportivo Cali shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fortaleza CEIF host Deportivo Cali in the Colombian Primera A on Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 at Metropolitano de Techo. Our prediction for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Fortaleza CEIF form

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Deportivo Cali form

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fortaleza CEIF won 0, Deportivo Cali won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Deportivo Cali 1, Fortaleza CEIF 1.

Our call

We expect Fortaleza CEIF to score about 0.9 goals and Deportivo Cali about 1.3. That points to Deportivo Cali to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-1 at 7.12.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FortalezaCali
Games played2020
Wins310
Draws106
Losses74
Goals scored2326
Goals conceded2814
Scored per game1.11.3
Conceded per game1.40.7
Home record3W 4D 5L6W 3D 0L
Away record0W 6D 2L4W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%40%
Both teams scored70%45%
Over 2.5 goals55%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals64%1.57
Over 2.5 goals36%2.76
Over 3.5 goals17%5.90
Both teams to score43%2.34
Fortaleza CEIF or Draw56%1.80
Deportivo Cali or Draw75%1.33
Fortaleza CEIF to win and Over 2.511%9.09
Deportivo Cali to win and Over 2.521%4.75
Fortaleza CEIF clean sheet28%3.54
Deportivo Cali clean sheet42%2.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-114.0%
1-113.8%
0-012.5%
1-09.5%
0-29.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Our prediction for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali is Deportivo Cali to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Fortaleza CEIF to score 0.9 goals and Deportivo Cali 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Fortaleza CEIF last 20 games and 9 of Deportivo Cali last 20.

How are Fortaleza CEIF playing?

Fortaleza CEIF have 3 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Deportivo Cali playing?

Deportivo Cali have 10 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Fortaleza CEIF and Deportivo Cali last met?

It ended Deportivo Cali 1, Fortaleza CEIF 1. In the last 1 meeting Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and Deportivo Cali won 0.

What is the best bet for Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fortaleza against Cali. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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