Predictions › Netherlands › Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente

EredivisieSat 10 Oct, 18:00 Netherlands time

Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente prediction

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna SittardHome

1.23 : 2.45

expected goals

FC TwenteAway

17%Fortuna

19%Draw

64%FC Twente

Eagle safe pickFC Twente or Draw

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction: FC Twente to win
Chance: 64%
Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals: Fortuna Sittard 1.2, FC Twente 2.5
Best bet: FC Twente or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Twente or Draw

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Twente to win and both score

35% chanceFair price 2.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Fortuna Sittard 17%, the draw 19% and FC Twente 64%. The bookmakers agree and make FC Twente the favourite at 1.41.
2
Recent form
Fortuna Sittard took 9 points from their last 5 games and FC Twente took 13 from 5. FC Twente come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Fortuna Sittard won 3 of their last 10 games at home. FC Twente won 4 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Fortuna Sittard score 1.6 goals a game and let in 2.0. FC Twente score 2.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Fortuna Sittard games and 13 of FC Twente games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 0 and FC Twente won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fortuna Sittard 1, FC Twente 2.
6
The safest bet
FC Twente or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Fortunarecent form+1%
FC Twenterecent form+6%

Fortuna form W L W W LFC Twente form W W W D WHome edge in this league 18% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente: FC Twente are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fortuna Sittard host FC Twente in the Eredivisie on Sat 10 Oct, 18:00 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.25.

Fortuna Sittard form

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 41 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

FC Twente form

FC Twente have 13 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fortuna Sittard won 0, FC Twente won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fortuna Sittard 1, FC Twente 2.

Our call

We expect Fortuna Sittard to score about 1.2 goals and FC Twente about 2.5. That points to FC Twente to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is FC Twente to win and both score at 2.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Fortuna	FC Twente
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	9	3
Goals scored	31	43
Goals conceded	41	23
Scored per game	1.6	2.1
Conceded per game	2.0	1.1
Home record	3W 2D 5L	9W 1D 1L
Away record	5W 1D 4L	4W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	5%	25%
Both teams scored	80%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Fortuna Sittard to win	17%	5.86	6.00	+2.4%
A Draw	19%	5.30	5.00	-5.7%
FC Twente to win	62%	1.60	1.41	-12.1%
Over 3.5 goals	46%	2.16	1.87	-13.5%
Under 3.5 goals	47%	2.11	1.80	-14.5%
Fortuna Sittard +1.5	51%	1.94	1.69	-13.0%
FC Twente -1.5	42%	2.37	1.95	-17.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	89%	1.13
Over 2.5 goals	71%	1.41
Over 3.5 goals	50%	2.00
Both teams to score	65%	1.54
Fortuna Sittard or Draw	36%	2.76
FC Twente or Draw	83%	1.21
Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.93
FC Twente to win and Over 2.5	50%	1.98
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet	9%	11.57
FC Twente clean sheet	29%	3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.3%

1-18.1%

1-37.6%

0-27.6%

0-36.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente is FC Twente to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is FC Twente or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect Fortuna Sittard to score 1.2 goals and FC Twente 2.5.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Fortuna Sittard last 20 games and 13 of FC Twente last 20.

How are Fortuna Sittard playing?

How are FC Twente playing?

What happened when Fortuna Sittard and FC Twente last met?

It ended Fortuna Sittard 1, FC Twente 2. In the last 2 meetings Fortuna Sittard won 0 and FC Twente won 2.

What is the best bet for Fortuna Sittard vs FC Twente?

FC Twente or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fortuna against FC Twente. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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