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Predictions › Netherlands › Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar
EredivisieSat 7 Nov, 15:30 Netherlands time

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar prediction

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Fortuna SittardHome
1.39 : 1.25
expected goals
TelstarAway
40%Fortuna
28%Draw
33%Telstar
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Fortuna Sittard to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fortuna Sittard 1.4, Telstar 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fortuna Sittard 40%, the draw 28% and Telstar 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fortuna Sittard took 8 points from their last 5 games and Telstar took 2 from 5. Fortuna Sittard come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fortuna Sittard won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Telstar won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fortuna Sittard score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.9. Telstar score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Fortuna Sittard games and 15 of Telstar games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 1 and Telstar won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Fortuna Sittard 1, Telstar 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Telstarrecent form-4%
Fortuna form D D D W LTelstar form D L L D LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar: Fortuna Sittard shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fortuna Sittard host Telstar in the Eredivisie on Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Fortuna Sittard form

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

Telstar form

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fortuna Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Fortuna Sittard 1, Telstar 4.

Our call

We expect Fortuna Sittard to score about 1.4 goals and Telstar about 1.3. That points to Fortuna Sittard to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FortunaTelstar
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws44
Losses89
Goals scored3033
Goals conceded3735
Scored per game1.51.6
Conceded per game1.91.8
Home record3W 2D 5L4W 2D 4L
Away record5W 2D 3L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.66
Both teams to score54%1.84
Fortuna Sittard or Draw67%1.49
Telstar or Draw60%1.66
Fortuna Sittard to win and Over 2.524%4.25
Telstar to win and Over 2.519%5.23
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet29%3.48
Telstar clean sheet25%4.03

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
1-09.2%
2-18.6%
0-18.1%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

Our prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar is Fortuna Sittard to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Fortuna Sittard to score 1.4 goals and Telstar 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Fortuna Sittard last 20 games and 12 of Telstar last 20.

How are Fortuna Sittard playing?

Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Telstar playing?

Telstar have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Fortuna Sittard and Telstar last met?

It ended Fortuna Sittard 1, Telstar 4. In the last 2 meetings Fortuna Sittard won 1 and Telstar won 1.

What is the best bet for Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fortuna against Telstar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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