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Predictions › Norway › Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
EliteserienSat 31 Oct, 15:00 Norway time

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg prediction

Fredrikstad Stadion

FredrikstadHome
1.23 : 1.34
expected goals
RosenborgAway
33%Fredrikstad
28%Draw
39%Rosenborg
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.33

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Prediction
Rosenborg to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fredrikstad 1.2, Rosenborg 1.3
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.33
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1.332 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.481 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fredrikstad 33%, the draw 28% and Rosenborg 39%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fredrikstad took 3 points from their last 5 games and Rosenborg took 13 from 5. Rosenborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fredrikstad won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Rosenborg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fredrikstad score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Rosenborg score 2.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Fredrikstad games and 14 of Rosenborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Fredrikstad won 0 and Rosenborg won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rosenborg 4, Fredrikstad 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fredrikstadrecent form-1%
  • Rosenborgrecent form+4%
Fredrikstad form D D D D LRosenborg form D D W W WHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg: Rosenborg shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Fredrikstad Stadion. Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

Fredrikstad form

Fredrikstad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Rosenborg form

Rosenborg have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fredrikstad won 0, Rosenborg won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rosenborg 4, Fredrikstad 0.

Our call

We expect Fredrikstad to score about 1.2 goals and Rosenborg about 1.3. That points to Rosenborg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.48.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FredrikstadRosenborg
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws54
Losses95
Goals scored2243
Goals conceded2925
Scored per game1.12.1
Conceded per game1.41.3
Home record4W 3D 3L7W 3D 1L
Away record2W 2D 6L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets15%40%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals45%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%3.88
Both teams to score53%1.89
Fredrikstad or Draw61%1.63
Rosenborg or Draw67%1.50
Fredrikstad to win and Over 2.519%5.30
Rosenborg to win and Over 2.522%4.48
Fredrikstad clean sheet26%3.84
Rosenborg clean sheet29%3.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.4%
0-19.5%
1-08.6%
1-28.5%
0-08.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg is Rosenborg to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Fredrikstad to score 1.2 goals and Rosenborg 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Fredrikstad last 20 games and 10 of Rosenborg last 20.

How are Fredrikstad playing?

Fredrikstad have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, D, L, newest first.

How are Rosenborg playing?

Rosenborg have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Fredrikstad and Rosenborg last met?

It ended Rosenborg 4, Fredrikstad 0. In the last 1 meeting Fredrikstad won 0 and Rosenborg won 1.

What is the best bet for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fredrikstad against Rosenborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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