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Predictions › Norway › Fredrikstad vs SK Brann
EliteserienSun 8 Nov, 18:15 Norway time

Fredrikstad vs SK Brann prediction

Fredrikstad Stadion

FredrikstadHome
1.46 : 1.27
expected goals
SK BrannAway
41%Fredrikstad
27%Draw
32%SK Brann
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs SK Brann is Fredrikstad to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Fredrikstad to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fredrikstad 1.5, SK Brann 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fredrikstad 41%, the draw 27% and SK Brann 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fredrikstad took 3 points from their last 5 games and SK Brann took 6 from 5. SK Brann come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fredrikstad won 4 of their last 9 games at home. SK Brann won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fredrikstad score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. SK Brann score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Fredrikstad games and 17 of SK Brann games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Fredrikstad won 0 and SK Brann won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended SK Brann 3, Fredrikstad 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fredrikstadrecent form-1%
Fredrikstad form D L D D DSK Brann form D W L W LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fredrikstad vs SK Brann: Fredrikstad shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fredrikstad host SK Brann in the Eliteserien on Sun 8 Nov, 18:15 at Fredrikstad Stadion. Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs SK Brann is Fredrikstad to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Fredrikstad form

Fredrikstad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 10 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Fredrikstad won 0, SK Brann won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SK Brann 3, Fredrikstad 1.

Our call

We expect Fredrikstad to score about 1.5 goals and SK Brann about 1.3. That points to Fredrikstad to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FredrikstadSK Brann
Games played2020
Wins610
Draws41
Losses109
Goals scored2237
Goals conceded3331
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record4W 2D 3L7W 0D 4L
Away record2W 2D 7L3W 1D 5L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored65%75%
Over 2.5 goals50%85%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.42
Both teams to score56%1.79
Fredrikstad or Draw68%1.47
SK Brann or Draw59%1.70
Fredrikstad to win and Over 2.525%3.97
SK Brann to win and Over 2.519%5.20
Fredrikstad clean sheet28%3.55
SK Brann clean sheet23%4.32

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
2-18.8%
1-08.8%
1-27.7%
0-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Fredrikstad vs SK Brann?

Our prediction for Fredrikstad vs SK Brann is Fredrikstad to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Fredrikstad vs SK Brann?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Fredrikstad to score 1.5 goals and SK Brann 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fredrikstad vs SK Brann?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Fredrikstad last 20 games and 15 of SK Brann last 20.

How are Fredrikstad playing?

Fredrikstad have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 10 wins, 1 draw and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Fredrikstad and SK Brann last met?

It ended SK Brann 3, Fredrikstad 1. In the last 2 meetings Fredrikstad won 0 and SK Brann won 2.

What is the best bet for Fredrikstad vs SK Brann?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fredrikstad against SK Brann. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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