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Predictions › United States › Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats prediction

UFCU Stadium

Fresno State BulldogsAway
24.0 : 31.1
projected points
Texas State BobcatsHome
33%Fresno St
67%Texas St
Eagle safe pickUnder 65.5 points
-306

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 24.0 and Texas State Bobcats 31.1. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -306.

Prediction
Texas State Bobcats to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Fresno State Bulldogs 24, Texas State Bobcats 31
Projected total
55.1 points
Best bet
Under 65.5 points at -306

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 65.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3062 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fresno St to win
32% chanceFair price +2111 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas State Bobcats 67% and Fresno State Bulldogs 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas State Bobcats won 3 of their last 5 and Fresno State Bulldogs won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas State Bobcats won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Fresno State Bulldogs won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas State Bobcats score 36.0 points a game and let in 30.0. Fresno State Bulldogs score 26.7 and let in 18.9. Their recent games average 66.0 and 45.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 65.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats: Texas State Bobcats are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas State Bobcats host Fresno State Bulldogs in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 16:00 at UFCU Stadium. Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 24.0 and Texas State Bobcats 31.1. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -306.

Texas State Bobcats form

Texas State Bobcats have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 684 points scored and 570 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Fresno State Bulldogs form

Fresno State Bulldogs have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 481 points scored and 340 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fresno State Bulldogs to score about 24.0 points and Texas State Bobcats about 31.1. That points to Texas State Bobcats to win. Our safest bet is Under 65.5 points at -306. Our bold bet is Fresno St to win at +211.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Texas StFresno St
Games played1918
Wins912
Losses106
Points scored684481
Points conceded570340
Scored per game36.026.7
Conceded per game30.018.9
Home record8W 3L7W 3L
Away record1W 7L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas St spreadCoversFair
Texas St -14.532%+210
Texas St -10.542%+140
Texas St -7.549%+104
Texas St -4.557%-130
Texas St -0.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
48.566%34%
52.557%43%
55.549%51%
58.542%58%
62.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas St +3.5 wins if Texas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

Boise State Rallies Past Texas State After Wild Second Half

Max Cutforth came off the bench to throw three late touchdowns as Boise State beat Texas State 46-45.

1 Nov 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats?

Our prediction for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 67% chance. We project Fresno State Bulldogs 24.0 and Texas State Bobcats 31.1. Our best bet is Under 65.5 points at -306.

What is the projected score for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats?

We project Fresno State Bulldogs 24.0 and Texas State Bobcats 31.1, about 55.1 points in total.

How are Texas State Bobcats playing?

Texas State Bobcats have 9 wins and 10 losses in their last 19 games, with 684 points scored and 570 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Fresno State Bulldogs playing?

Fresno State Bulldogs have 12 wins and 6 losses in their last 18 games, with 481 points scored and 340 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Fresno State Bulldogs vs Texas State Bobcats?

Under 65.5 points at -306, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas St against Fresno St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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