Predictions › Italy › Frosinone vs Torino

Serie ASun 1 Nov, 14:00 Italy time

Frosinone vs Torino prediction

Stadio Benito Stirpe

FrosinoneHome

1.81 : 1.24

expected goals

TorinoAway

50%Frosinone

24%Draw

26%Torino

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Torino is Frosinone to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction: Frosinone to win
Chance: 50%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Frosinone 1.8, Torino 1.2
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score: 60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.242 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Frosinone to win and Over 2.5

34% chanceFair price 2.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Frosinone 50%, the draw 24% and Torino 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Frosinone took 10 points from their last 5 games and Torino took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Frosinone won 8 of their last 12 games at home. Torino won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Frosinone score 2.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Torino score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Frosinone games and 14 of Torino games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Frosinonerecent form+1%
Torinorecent form+1%
Torinorest between games-2%

Frosinone form D L W D WTorino form D W D L WHome edge in this league 12% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Frosinone vs Torino: Frosinone are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Frosinone host Torino in the Serie A on Sun 1 Nov, 14:00 at Stadio Benito Stirpe. Our prediction for Frosinone vs Torino is Frosinone to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Frosinone form

Frosinone have 12 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 8 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 12. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Torino form

Torino have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Frosinone to score about 1.8 goals and Torino about 1.2. That points to Frosinone to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Frosinone to win and Over 2.5 at 2.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Frosinone	Torino
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	8
Draws	6	4
Losses	2	8
Goals scored	43	29
Goals conceded	21	28
Scored per game	2.1	1.4
Conceded per game	1.1	1.4
Home record	8W 3D 1L	5W 2D 2L
Away record	4W 3D 1L	3W 2D 6L
Clean sheets	35%	20%
Both teams scored	55%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	70%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	81%	1.23
Over 2.5 goals	59%	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	36%	2.75
Both teams to score	60%	1.66
Frosinone or Draw	74%	1.34
Torino or Draw	50%	2.00
Frosinone to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.91
Torino to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.98
Frosinone clean sheet	29%	3.46
Torino clean sheet	16%	6.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.3%

2-19.6%

1-07.9%

2-07.7%

1-26.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Frosinone vs Torino?

Our prediction for Frosinone vs Torino is Frosinone to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Frosinone vs Torino?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Frosinone to score 1.8 goals and Torino 1.2.

Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Torino?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Frosinone last 20 games and 13 of Torino last 20.

How are Frosinone playing?

How are Torino playing?

What is the best bet for Frosinone vs Torino?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Frosinone against Torino. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.