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Predictions › United Kingdom › Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Carabao CupWed 28 Oct, 19:45 United Kingdom time

Fulham vs Crystal Palace prediction

Craven Cottage

FulhamHome
1.68 : 1.28
expected goals
Crystal PalaceAway
46%Fulham
25%Draw
29%C Palace
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace is Fulham to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Fulham to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fulham 1.7, Crystal Palace 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1/42 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fulham to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 12/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fulham 46%, the draw 25% and Crystal Palace 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Fulham the favourite at 10/11.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fulham took 8 points from their last 5 games and Crystal Palace took 7 from 5. Fulham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fulham won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Crystal Palace won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fulham score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Crystal Palace score 1.5 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Fulham games and 16 of Crystal Palace games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Fulham won 0 and Crystal Palace won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Fulham 2, Crystal Palace 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • C Palacerecent form+1%
  • Fulhamrest between games-5%
  • C Palacerest between games-5%
Fulham form D L D W DC Palace form D L W D WHome edge in this league 5% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fulham vs Crystal Palace: Fulham are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Fulham host Crystal Palace in the Carabao Cup on Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 at Craven Cottage. Our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace is Fulham to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Fulham form

Fulham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

Crystal Palace form

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Fulham won 0, Crystal Palace won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Fulham 2, Crystal Palace 3.

Our call

We expect Fulham to score about 1.7 goals and Crystal Palace about 1.3. That points to Fulham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Fulham to win and Over 2.5 at 12/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FulhamC Palace
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws54
Losses99
Goals scored2030
Goals conceded2237
Scored per game1.01.5
Conceded per game1.11.9
Home record5W 1D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record1W 4D 4L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored35%55%
Over 2.5 goals35%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Fulham to win46%6/510/11-10.2%
A Draw24%3/15/2-14.0%
Crystal Palace to win27%13/59/4-11.1%
Over 2.5 goals52%10/118/13-14.7%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/411/10-5.1%
Fulham -0.547%11/1010/11-10.9%
Crystal Palace +0.550%Evens8/11-13.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1/4
Over 2.5 goals57%8/11
Over 3.5 goals35%15/8
Both teams to score60%4/6
Fulham or Draw71%2/5
Crystal Palace or Draw54%5/6
Fulham to win and Over 2.531%9/4
Crystal Palace to win and Over 2.518%9/2
Fulham clean sheet28%13/5
Crystal Palace clean sheet19%9/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
2-19.4%
1-08.0%
2-07.3%
1-27.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Premier League

Pierre Sage Frustrated as Crystal Palace Stumble in Lyon

Crystal Palace suffered a 3-2 loss to Lyon, leaving manager Pierre Sage angry with his squad's poor first half performance.

15 Oct 2026
Premier League

Fulham Boss Álvaro Arbeloa Charged By FA After Manchester United Draw

Fulham manager Álvaro Arbeloa faces an FA misconduct charge for claiming officials would not let Manchester United lose.

30 Sept 2026
Premier League

Yobo Backs Iwobi to Set New Nigeria Appearance Record

Former captain Joseph Yobo believes Fulham midfielder Alex Iwobi can reach 130 caps for Nigeria and break the all-time appearance record.

23 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Our prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace is Fulham to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Fulham to score 1.7 goals and Crystal Palace 1.3.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Fulham last 20 games and 11 of Crystal Palace last 20.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Crystal Palace playing?

Crystal Palace have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Fulham and Crystal Palace last met?

It ended Fulham 2, Crystal Palace 3. In the last 3 meetings Fulham won 0 and Crystal Palace won 2.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Crystal Palace?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fulham against C Palace. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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