Predictions › United Kingdom › Fulham vs Hull City
Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Fulham vs Hull City prediction

Craven Cottage

FulhamHome
1.83 : 1.04
expected goals
Hull CityAway
55%Fulham
24%Draw
21%Hull
Eagle safe pickFulham or Draw
3/10

Quick answer

Our prediction for Fulham vs Hull City is Fulham to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fulham or Draw at 3/10.

Prediction
Fulham to win
Chance
55%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Fulham 1.8, Hull City 1.0
Best bet
Fulham or Draw at 3/10
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Fulham or Draw
77% chanceFair price 3/102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Fulham to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fulham 55%, the draw 24% and Hull City 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Fulham the favourite at 4/6.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fulham took 5 points from their last 5 games and Hull City took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fulham won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Hull City won 3 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fulham score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Hull City score 1.1 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Fulham games and 9 of Hull City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Fulham or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fulhamrecent form-1%
  • Hullrecent form-1%
Fulham form D W D L LHull form L D L D WHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Fulham vs Hull City: Fulham are favourites

The big picture

Fulham host Hull City in the Premier League on Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 at Craven Cottage. Our prediction for Fulham vs Hull City is Fulham to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fulham or Draw at 3/10.

Fulham form

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Hull City form

Hull City have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Fulham to score about 1.8 goals and Hull City about 1.0. That points to Fulham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Fulham or Draw at 3/10. Our bold bet is Fulham to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FulhamHull
Games played2020
Wins77
Draws58
Losses85
Goals scored2323
Goals conceded2220
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.11.0
Home record5W 1D 5L4W 4D 0L
Away record2W 4D 3L3W 4D 5L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Fulham to win52%10/114/6-15.2%
A Draw24%10/33/1-5.0%
Hull City to win20%4/17/2-4.5%
Over 2.5 goals51%Evens4/6-13.6%
Under 2.5 goals42%11/821/20-13.6%
Fulham -0.553%10/114/7-16.4%
Hull City +0.541%6/411/10-14.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%2/7
Over 2.5 goals55%5/6
Over 3.5 goals33%85/40
Both teams to score55%5/6
Fulham or Draw79%1/4
Hull City or Draw45%5/4
Fulham to win and Over 2.536%7/4
Hull City to win and Over 2.512%7/1
Fulham clean sheet35%9/5
Hull City clean sheet16%11/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%
2-19.9%
1-09.7%
2-09.5%
0-06.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?

Our prediction for Fulham vs Hull City is Fulham to win, with a 55% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Fulham or Draw at 3/10.

What is the score prediction for Fulham vs Hull City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Fulham to score 1.8 goals and Hull City 1.0.

Will both teams score in Fulham vs Hull City?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Fulham last 20 games and 11 of Hull City last 20.

How are Fulham playing?

Fulham have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Hull City playing?

Hull City have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Fulham vs Hull City?

Fulham or Draw at 3/10, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Fulham against Hull. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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