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Predictions › Sweden › GAIS vs AIK
AllsvenskanMon 2 Nov, 18:00 Sweden time

GAIS vs AIK prediction

Gamla Ullevi

GAISHome
1.25 : 0.84
expected goals
AIKAway
45%GAIS
31%Draw
24%AIK
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for GAIS vs AIK is GAIS to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
GAIS 1.3, AIK 0.8
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
15% chanceFair price 6.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives GAIS 45%, the draw 31% and AIK 24%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    GAIS took 4 points from their last 5 games and AIK took 2 from 5. GAIS come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    GAIS won 5 of their last 10 games at home. AIK won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    GAIS score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. AIK score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of GAIS games and 13 of AIK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, GAIS won 0 and AIK won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended AIK 2, GAIS 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • GAISrecent form-1%
  • AIKrecent form-4%
GAIS form D L W L DAIK form D L L D LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

GAIS vs AIK: GAIS are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

GAIS host AIK in the Allsvenskan on Mon 2 Nov, 18:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for GAIS vs AIK is GAIS to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

AIK form

AIK have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. GAIS won 0, AIK won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished AIK 2, GAIS 0.

Our call

We expect GAIS to score about 1.3 goals and AIK about 0.8. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GAISAIK
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws56
Losses77
Goals scored2832
Goals conceded1937
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game0.91.9
Home record5W 3D 2L2W 2D 6L
Away record3W 2D 5L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets45%15%
Both teams scored30%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.89
Over 3.5 goals16%6.31
Both teams to score41%2.43
GAIS or Draw76%1.32
AIK or Draw55%1.82
GAIS to win and Over 2.521%4.83
AIK to win and Over 2.510%9.89
GAIS clean sheet43%2.31
AIK clean sheet29%3.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.7%
1-113.8%
0-013.2%
2-09.7%
0-19.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win GAIS vs AIK?

Our prediction for GAIS vs AIK is GAIS to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for GAIS vs AIK?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect GAIS to score 1.3 goals and AIK 0.8.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs AIK?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of GAIS last 20 games and 14 of AIK last 20.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are AIK playing?

AIK have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What happened when GAIS and AIK last met?

It ended AIK 2, GAIS 0. In the last 2 meetings GAIS won 0 and AIK won 1.

What is the best bet for GAIS vs AIK?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GAIS against AIK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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