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Predictions › Sweden › GAIS vs IFK Göteborg
AllsvenskanSun 25 Oct, 13:00 Sweden time

GAIS vs IFK Göteborg prediction

Gamla Ullevi

GAISHome
1.73 : 0.87
expected goals
IFK GöteborgAway
57%GAIS
25%Draw
18%Göteborg
Eagle safe pickGAIS or Draw
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for GAIS vs IFK Göteborg is GAIS to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is GAIS or Draw at 1.25.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
GAIS 1.7, IFK Göteborg 0.9
Best bet
GAIS or Draw at 1.25
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

GAIS or Draw
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

GAIS to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives GAIS 57%, the draw 25% and IFK Göteborg 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    GAIS took 7 points from their last 5 games and IFK Göteborg took 15 from 5. IFK Göteborg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    GAIS won 5 of their last 11 games at home. IFK Göteborg won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    GAIS score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.8. IFK Göteborg score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of GAIS games and 12 of IFK Göteborg games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, GAIS won 0 and IFK Göteborg won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended IFK Göteborg 2, GAIS 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    GAIS or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • GAISrecent form+1%
  • Göteborgrecent form+6%
GAIS form D W L D WGöteborg form D W W W WHome edge in this league 21% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

GAIS vs IFK Göteborg: GAIS are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

GAIS host IFK Göteborg in the Allsvenskan on Sun 25 Oct, 13:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for GAIS vs IFK Göteborg is GAIS to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is GAIS or Draw at 1.25.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

IFK Göteborg form

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. GAIS won 0, IFK Göteborg won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished IFK Göteborg 2, GAIS 2.

Our call

We expect GAIS to score about 1.7 goals and IFK Göteborg about 0.9. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is GAIS or Draw at 1.25. Our bold bet is GAIS to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GAISGöteborg
Games played2020
Wins810
Draws64
Losses66
Goals scored2631
Goals conceded1536
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game0.81.8
Home record5W 4D 2L6W 3D 2L
Away record3W 2D 4L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets50%20%
Both teams scored25%60%
Over 2.5 goals30%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.78
Both teams to score48%2.06
GAIS or Draw82%1.22
IFK Göteborg or Draw43%2.34
GAIS to win and Over 2.534%2.95
IFK Göteborg to win and Over 2.59%10.68
GAIS clean sheet42%2.38
IFK Göteborg clean sheet18%5.66

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.2%
1-111.8%
2-011.1%
2-19.7%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win GAIS vs IFK Göteborg?

Our prediction for GAIS vs IFK Göteborg is GAIS to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is GAIS or Draw at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for GAIS vs IFK Göteborg?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect GAIS to score 1.7 goals and IFK Göteborg 0.9.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs IFK Göteborg?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of GAIS last 20 games and 12 of IFK Göteborg last 20.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, W, newest first.

How are IFK Göteborg playing?

IFK Göteborg have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when GAIS and IFK Göteborg last met?

It ended IFK Göteborg 2, GAIS 2. In the last 1 meeting GAIS won 0 and IFK Göteborg won 0.

What is the best bet for GAIS vs IFK Göteborg?

GAIS or Draw at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GAIS against Göteborg. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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