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Predictions › Sweden › GAIS vs IK Sirius
AllsvenskanSat 10 Oct, 13:00 Sweden time

GAIS vs IK Sirius prediction

Gamla Ullevi

GAISHome
1.37 : 1.10
expected goals
IK SiriusAway
42%GAIS
28%Draw
29%Sirius
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for GAIS vs IK Sirius is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
GAIS 1.4, IK Sirius 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.411 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives GAIS 42%, the draw 28% and IK Sirius 29%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    GAIS took 7 points from their last 5 games and IK Sirius took 9 from 5. IK Sirius come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    GAIS won 5 of their last 10 games at home. IK Sirius won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    GAIS score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. IK Sirius score 2.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of GAIS games and 15 of IK Sirius games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, GAIS won 0 and IK Sirius won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Sirius 2, GAIS 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Siriusrecent form+1%
GAIS form W L D W LSirius form W W W L LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

GAIS vs IK Sirius: GAIS shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

GAIS host IK Sirius in the Allsvenskan on Sat 10 Oct, 13:00 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for GAIS vs IK Sirius is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

GAIS form

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

IK Sirius form

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. GAIS won 0, IK Sirius won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Sirius 2, GAIS 1.

Our call

We expect GAIS to score about 1.4 goals and IK Sirius about 1.1. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.41.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GAISSirius
Games played2020
Wins814
Draws63
Losses63
Goals scored2747
Goals conceded1628
Scored per game1.42.4
Conceded per game0.81.4
Home record5W 4D 1L6W 2D 2L
Away record3W 2D 5L8W 1D 1L
Clean sheets50%25%
Both teams scored30%65%
Over 2.5 goals35%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.22
Both teams to score51%1.98
GAIS or Draw71%1.42
IK Sirius or Draw58%1.73
GAIS to win and Over 2.524%4.25
IK Sirius to win and Over 2.516%6.36
GAIS clean sheet33%3.01
IK Sirius clean sheet25%3.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-010.8%
0-09.2%
2-18.7%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win GAIS vs IK Sirius?

Our prediction for GAIS vs IK Sirius is GAIS to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for GAIS vs IK Sirius?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect GAIS to score 1.4 goals and IK Sirius 1.1.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs IK Sirius?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of GAIS last 20 games and 13 of IK Sirius last 20.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are IK Sirius playing?

IK Sirius have 14 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when GAIS and IK Sirius last met?

It ended IK Sirius 2, GAIS 1. In the last 2 meetings GAIS won 0 and IK Sirius won 2.

What is the best bet for GAIS vs IK Sirius?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GAIS against Sirius. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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