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Predictions › Sweden › GAIS vs Västerås SK
AllsvenskanSat 21 Nov, 16:30 Sweden time

GAIS vs Västerås SK prediction

Gamla Ullevi

GAISHome
1.41 : 0.88
expected goals
Västerås SKAway
49%GAIS
29%Draw
23%Västerås
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for GAIS vs Västerås SK is GAIS to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
GAIS to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
GAIS 1.4, Västerås SK 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
14% chanceFair price 7.361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives GAIS 49%, the draw 29% and Västerås SK 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    GAIS took 10 points from their last 5 games and Västerås SK took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    GAIS won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Västerås SK won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    GAIS score 1.3 goals a game and let in 0.9. Västerås SK score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of GAIS games and 9 of Västerås SK games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, GAIS won 1 and Västerås SK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Västerås SK 0, GAIS 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • GAISrecent form+3%
  • Västeråsrecent form+3%
GAIS form W W W D LVästerås form D W W L WHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

GAIS vs Västerås SK: GAIS are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

GAIS host Västerås SK in the Allsvenskan on Sat 21 Nov, 16:30 at Gamla Ullevi. Our prediction for GAIS vs Västerås SK is GAIS to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

GAIS form

GAIS have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

Västerås SK form

Västerås SK have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. GAIS won 1, Västerås SK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Västerås SK 0, GAIS 1.

Our call

We expect GAIS to score about 1.4 goals and Västerås SK about 0.9. That points to GAIS to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 7.36.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GAISVästerås
Games played2020
Wins911
Draws43
Losses76
Goals scored2630
Goals conceded1923
Scored per game1.31.5
Conceded per game0.91.1
Home record5W 3D 2L6W 1D 3L
Away record4W 1D 5L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets40%50%
Both teams scored35%30%
Over 2.5 goals35%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.48
Over 2.5 goals40%2.50
Over 3.5 goals20%5.06
Both teams to score45%2.23
GAIS or Draw77%1.29
Västerås SK or Draw51%1.95
GAIS to win and Over 2.525%3.99
Västerås SK to win and Over 2.511%9.50
GAIS clean sheet42%2.40
Västerås SK clean sheet24%4.10

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-113.3%
0-010.9%
2-010.1%
2-18.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win GAIS vs Västerås SK?

Our prediction for GAIS vs Västerås SK is GAIS to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for GAIS vs Västerås SK?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect GAIS to score 1.4 goals and Västerås SK 0.9.

Will both teams score in GAIS vs Västerås SK?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of GAIS last 20 games and 6 of Västerås SK last 20.

How are GAIS playing?

GAIS have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, L, newest first.

How are Västerås SK playing?

Västerås SK have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when GAIS and Västerås SK last met?

It ended Västerås SK 0, GAIS 1. In the last 1 meeting GAIS won 1 and Västerås SK won 0.

What is the best bet for GAIS vs Västerås SK?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in GAIS against Västerås. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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