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Predictions › Turkey › Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce
Super LigMon 26 Oct, 18:30 Turkey time

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce prediction

RAMS Park

GalatasarayHome
1.57 : 1.51
expected goals
FenerbahceAway
39%Galatasaray
25%Draw
36%Fenerbahce
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce is Galatasaray to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Prediction
Galatasaray to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Galatasaray 1.6, Fenerbahce 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.24
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5
25% chanceFair price 3.951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Galatasaray 39%, the draw 25% and Fenerbahce 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Galatasaray took 6 points from their last 5 games and Fenerbahce took 8 from 5. Fenerbahce come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Galatasaray won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Fenerbahce won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Galatasaray score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.7. Fenerbahce score 2.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Galatasaray games and 15 of Fenerbahce games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Galatasaray won 1 and Fenerbahce won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Galatasaray 3, Fenerbahce 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Fenerbahcerecent form+1%
  • Fenerbahcerest between games-2%
Galatasaray form D W L W LFenerbahce form L W W D DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce: Galatasaray shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Galatasaray host Fenerbahce in the Super Lig on Mon 26 Oct, 18:30 at RAMS Park. Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce is Galatasaray to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Fenerbahce form

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Galatasaray won 1, Fenerbahce won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Galatasaray 3, Fenerbahce 0.

Our call

We expect Galatasaray to score about 1.6 goals and Fenerbahce about 1.5. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5 at 3.95.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GalatasarayFenerbahce
Games played2020
Wins1110
Draws25
Losses75
Goals scored3745
Goals conceded3429
Scored per game1.92.3
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record7W 2D 1L6W 3D 1L
Away record4W 0D 6L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals80%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals59%1.68
Over 3.5 goals37%2.70
Both teams to score62%1.60
Galatasaray or Draw64%1.56
Fenerbahce or Draw61%1.63
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.527%3.77
Fenerbahce to win and Over 2.524%4.08
Galatasaray clean sheet22%4.52
Fenerbahce clean sheet21%4.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-06.6%
2-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce?

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce is Galatasaray to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Galatasaray to score 1.6 goals and Fenerbahce 1.5.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Galatasaray last 20 games and 10 of Fenerbahce last 20.

How are Galatasaray playing?

Galatasaray have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Fenerbahce playing?

Fenerbahce have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 45 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Galatasaray and Fenerbahce last met?

It ended Galatasaray 3, Fenerbahce 0. In the last 2 meetings Galatasaray won 1 and Fenerbahce won 0.

What is the best bet for Galatasaray vs Fenerbahce?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Galatasaray against Fenerbahce. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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