Predictions › Turkey › Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa

Super LigFri 9 Oct, 17:00 Turkey time

Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa prediction

RAMS Park

GalatasarayHome

2.49 : 0.89

expected goals

KasimpasaAway

72%Galatasaray

17%Draw

11%Kasimpasa

Eagle safe pickGalatasaray draw no bet

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa is Galatasaray to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction: Galatasaray to win
Chance: 72%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Galatasaray 2.5, Kasimpasa 0.9
Best bet: Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Galatasaray draw no bet

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and both score

33% chanceFair price 3.061 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Galatasaray 72%, the draw 17% and Kasimpasa 11%. The bookmakers agree and make Galatasaray the favourite at 1.22.
2
Recent form
Galatasaray took 9 points from their last 5 games and Kasimpasa took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Galatasaray won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Kasimpasa won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Galatasaray score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Kasimpasa score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 15 of Galatasaray games and 9 of Kasimpasa games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Galatasaray won 1 and Kasimpasa won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Kasimpasa 1, Galatasaray 0.
6
The safest bet
Galatasaray draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Galatasarayrecent form+1%
Kasimpasarecent form+3%

Galatasaray form L W L W WKasimpasa form D W D D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa: Galatasaray are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Galatasaray host Kasimpasa in the Super Lig on Fri 9 Oct, 17:00 at RAMS Park. Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa is Galatasaray to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Kasimpasa form

Kasimpasa have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Galatasaray won 1, Kasimpasa won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Kasimpasa 1, Galatasaray 0.

Our call

We expect Galatasaray to score about 2.5 goals and Kasimpasa about 0.9. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and both score at 3.06.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Galatasaray	Kasimpasa
Games played	20	20
Wins	12	7
Draws	2	8
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	37	25
Goals conceded	30	27
Scored per game	1.9	1.3
Conceded per game	1.5	1.4
Home record	7W 2D 0L	5W 4D 1L
Away record	5W 0D 6L	2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Both teams scored	55%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Galatasaray to win	74%	1.35	1.22	-9.6%
A Draw	17%	5.83	6.00	+3.0%
Kasimpasa to win	9%	11.21	10.50	-6.3%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	2.42	2.05	-15.2%
Under 3.5 goals	52%	1.91	1.67	-12.7%
Galatasaray -1.5	52%	1.94	1.61	-17.1%
Kasimpasa +1.5	42%	2.37	2.10	-11.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	86%	1.17
Over 2.5 goals	66%	1.52
Over 3.5 goals	44%	2.29
Both teams to score	55%	1.83
Galatasaray or Draw	89%	1.12
Kasimpasa or Draw	28%	3.55
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5	53%	1.88
Kasimpasa to win and Over 2.5	7%	14.22
Galatasaray clean sheet	41%	2.44
Kasimpasa clean sheet	8%	12.05

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-010.5%

2-19.4%

3-08.7%

1-08.0%

1-18.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa is Galatasaray to win, with a 72% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Galatasaray to score 2.5 goals and Kasimpasa 0.9.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Galatasaray last 20 games and 12 of Kasimpasa last 20.

How are Galatasaray playing?

How are Kasimpasa playing?

What happened when Galatasaray and Kasimpasa last met?

It ended Kasimpasa 1, Galatasaray 0. In the last 2 meetings Galatasaray won 1 and Kasimpasa won 1.

What is the best bet for Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa?

Galatasaray draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Galatasaray against Kasimpasa. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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