Predictions › Champions League › Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart
Champions LeagueTue 3 Nov, 17:45 UTC

Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart prediction

RAMS Park

GalatasarayHome
2.03 : 1.73
expected goals
VfB StuttgartAway
45%Galatasaray
22%Draw
33%Stuttgart
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.35

Quick answer

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart is Galatasaray to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Prediction
Galatasaray to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Galatasaray 2.0, VfB Stuttgart 1.7
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.35
Both teams to score
72%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.351 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Galatasaray 45%, the draw 22% and VfB Stuttgart 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Galatasaray the favourite at 2.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Galatasaray took 9 points from their last 5 games and VfB Stuttgart took 7 from 5. Galatasaray come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Galatasaray won 5 of their last 8 games at home. VfB Stuttgart won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Galatasaray score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.8. VfB Stuttgart score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Galatasaray games and 12 of VfB Stuttgart games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Stuttgartrecent form+1%
  • Stuttgartrest between games-5%
Galatasaray form D W L W LStuttgart form D D L W WHome edge in this league 33% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart: Galatasaray shade it

The big picture

Galatasaray host VfB Stuttgart in the Champions League on Tue 3 Nov, 17:45 at RAMS Park. Our prediction for Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart is Galatasaray to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

VfB Stuttgart form

VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Galatasaray to score about 2.0 goals and VfB Stuttgart about 1.7. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5 at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GalatasarayStuttgart
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws24
Losses78
Goals scored3838
Goals conceded3632
Scored per game1.91.9
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record5W 2D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record6W 0D 6L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored65%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Galatasaray to win43%2.302.25-2.2%
A Draw22%4.644.10-11.7%
VfB Stuttgart to win32%3.142.65-15.5%
Over 3.5 goals46%2.182.00-8.4%
Under 3.5 goals48%2.071.74-15.7%
Galatasaray -0.543%2.342.10-10.4%
VfB Stuttgart +0.552%1.941.59-18.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals89%1.12
Over 2.5 goals72%1.38
Over 3.5 goals52%1.93
Both teams to score72%1.39
Galatasaray or Draw67%1.49
VfB Stuttgart or Draw55%1.81
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.536%2.80
VfB Stuttgart to win and Over 2.526%3.84
Galatasaray clean sheet18%5.65
VfB Stuttgart clean sheet13%7.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-18.7%
2-18.3%
2-27.2%
1-27.1%
3-15.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart?

Our prediction for Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart is Galatasaray to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-2. We expect Galatasaray to score 2.0 goals and VfB Stuttgart 1.7.

Will both teams score in Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart?

Both teams to score has a 72% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Galatasaray last 20 games and 12 of VfB Stuttgart last 20.

How are Galatasaray playing?

Galatasaray have 11 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 36 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are VfB Stuttgart playing?

VfB Stuttgart have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Galatasaray against Stuttgart. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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