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Predictions › Turkey › Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK
Super LigSun 11 Oct, 13:00 Turkey time

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK prediction

Gaziantep Stadium

Gaziantep FKHome
1.37 : 1.37
expected goals
Çorum FKAway
37%Gaziantep
27%Draw
36%Çorum FK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Gaziantep FK to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Gaziantep FK 1.4, Çorum FK 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.791 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gaziantep FK 37%, the draw 27% and Çorum FK 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Gaziantep FK the favourite at 2.55.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gaziantep FK took 7 points from their last 5 games and Çorum FK took 6 from 5. Gaziantep FK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gaziantep FK won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Çorum FK won 1 of their last 3 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gaziantep FK score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Çorum FK score 2.2 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Gaziantep FK games and 5 of Çorum FK games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Çorum FKrecent form-1%
Gaziantep form L D W L WÇorum FK form L W W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK: Gaziantep FK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gaziantep FK host Çorum FK in the Super Lig on Sun 11 Oct, 13:00 at Gaziantep Stadium. Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Çorum FK form

Çorum FK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Gaziantep FK to score about 1.4 goals and Çorum FK about 1.4. That points to Gaziantep FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.79.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GaziantepÇorum FK
Games played206
Wins52
Draws51
Losses103
Goals scored2313
Goals conceded3112
Scored per game1.12.2
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record2W 4D 4L1W 0D 2L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 1D 1L
Clean sheets20%17%
Both teams scored60%67%
Over 2.5 goals60%83%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Gaziantep FK to win35%2.882.55-11.4%
A Draw26%3.793.25-14.3%
Çorum FK to win35%2.892.60-10.0%
Over 2.5 goals48%2.101.83-12.9%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.151.83-14.6%
Gaziantep FK -0.535%2.822.40-15.0%
Çorum FK +0.561%1.641.46-11.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.94
Over 3.5 goals30%3.39
Both teams to score56%1.77
Gaziantep FK or Draw64%1.57
Çorum FK or Draw63%1.58
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.522%4.47
Çorum FK to win and Over 2.522%4.49
Gaziantep FK clean sheet25%3.93
Çorum FK clean sheet25%3.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
2-18.3%
1-28.3%
1-08.1%
0-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Gaziantep FK to score 1.4 goals and Çorum FK 1.4.

Will both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Gaziantep FK last 20 games and 4 of Çorum FK last 6.

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

Gaziantep FK have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Çorum FK playing?

Çorum FK have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Gaziantep FK vs Çorum FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gaziantep against Çorum FK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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