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Predictions › Turkey › Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB
Super LigSat 24 Oct, 13:00 Turkey time

Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB prediction

Gaziantep Stadium

Gaziantep FKHome
1.18 : 0.94
expected goals
Erzurum BBAway
40%Gaziantep
31%Draw
28%Erzurum
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.22

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Prediction
Gaziantep FK to win
Chance
40%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Gaziantep FK 1.2, Erzurum BB 0.9
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.22
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.222 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gaziantep FK 40%, the draw 31% and Erzurum BB 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gaziantep FK took 4 points from their last 5 games and Erzurum BB took 8 from 5. Erzurum BB come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gaziantep FK won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Erzurum BB won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gaziantep FK score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Erzurum BB score 0.4 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Gaziantep FK games and 3 of Erzurum BB games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gazianteprecent form-1%
  • Erzurumrecent form+1%
Gaziantep form D L D W LErzurum form D W L W DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB: Gaziantep FK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gaziantep FK host Erzurum BB in the Super Lig on Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 at Gaziantep Stadium. Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Erzurum BB form

Erzurum BB have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Gaziantep FK to score about 1.2 goals and Erzurum BB about 0.9. That points to Gaziantep FK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GaziantepErzurum
Games played207
Wins42
Draws52
Losses113
Goals scored213
Goals conceded3311
Scored per game1.10.4
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record1W 4D 5L2W 0D 1L
Away record3W 1D 6L0W 2D 2L
Clean sheets20%43%
Both teams scored55%14%
Over 2.5 goals60%43%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.58
Over 2.5 goals35%2.82
Over 3.5 goals16%6.08
Both teams to score43%2.33
Gaziantep FK or Draw72%1.40
Erzurum BB or Draw60%1.68
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.519%5.33
Erzurum BB to win and Over 2.513%7.97
Gaziantep FK clean sheet39%2.56
Erzurum BB clean sheet31%3.24

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.1%
1-013.4%
0-012.8%
0-110.5%
2-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB?

Our prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB is Gaziantep FK to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.22.

What is the score prediction for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Gaziantep FK to score 1.2 goals and Erzurum BB 0.9.

Will both teams score in Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Gaziantep FK last 20 games and 1 of Erzurum BB last 7.

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

Gaziantep FK have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

How are Erzurum BB playing?

Erzurum BB have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Gaziantep FK vs Erzurum BB?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.22, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gaziantep against Erzurum. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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