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Predictions › Turkey › Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK
Super LigSat 10 Oct, 10:30 Turkey time

Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK prediction

Eryaman Stadium

GenclerbirligiHome
1.42 : 1.43
expected goals
ASAmed SFKAway
36%Genclerbirli
26%Draw
37%Amed SFK
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.30

Quick answer

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Prediction
Amed SFK to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Genclerbirligi 1.4, Amed SFK 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.30
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.302 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Genclerbirligi 36%, the draw 26% and Amed SFK 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Amed SFK the favourite at 2.40.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Genclerbirligi took 4 points from their last 5 games and Amed SFK took 10 from 5. Amed SFK come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Genclerbirligi score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Amed SFK score 2.5 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Genclerbirligi games and 5 of Amed SFK games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Genclerbirlirecent form-3%
  • Amed SFKrecent form+3%
Genclerbirli form L L L D WAmed SFK form W W D W LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK: Amed SFK shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Genclerbirligi host Amed SFK in the Super Lig on Sat 10 Oct, 10:30 at Eryaman Stadium. Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Genclerbirligi form

Genclerbirligi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Amed SFK form

Amed SFK have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 games, with 15 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Genclerbirligi to score about 1.4 goals and Amed SFK about 1.4. That points to Amed SFK to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GenclerbirliAmed SFK
Games played206
Wins54
Draws41
Losses111
Goals scored1615
Goals conceded327
Scored per game0.82.5
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 0D 0L
Away record2W 1D 7L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets25%33%
Both teams scored35%50%
Over 2.5 goals50%83%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Genclerbirligi to win34%2.912.60-10.7%
A Draw26%3.893.55-8.8%
Amed SFK to win35%2.862.40-16.0%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.961.69-13.8%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.342.00-14.5%
Genclerbirligi +0.558%1.731.51-12.4%
Amed SFK -0.537%2.722.25-17.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.13
Both teams to score58%1.71
Genclerbirligi or Draw63%1.59
Amed SFK or Draw64%1.57
Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.523%4.33
Amed SFK to win and Over 2.524%4.23
Genclerbirligi clean sheet24%4.20
Amed SFK clean sheet24%4.13

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-28.4%
2-18.3%
0-17.6%
1-07.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK is Amed SFK to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Genclerbirligi to score 1.4 goals and Amed SFK 1.4.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Genclerbirligi last 20 games and 3 of Amed SFK last 6.

How are Genclerbirligi playing?

Genclerbirligi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

How are Amed SFK playing?

Amed SFK have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 games, with 15 goals scored and 7 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Genclerbirligi vs Amed SFK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genclerbirli against Amed SFK. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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