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Super LigSat 17 Oct, 13:00 Turkey time

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray prediction

Eryaman Stadium

GenclerbirligiHome

1.34 : 1.80

expected goals

GalatasarayAway

28%Genclerbirli

24%Draw

48%Galatasaray

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray is Galatasaray to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction: Galatasaray to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Genclerbirligi 1.3, Galatasaray 1.8
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score: 62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

80% chanceFair price 1.252 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Genclerbirligi 28%, the draw 24% and Galatasaray 48%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Genclerbirligi took 4 points from their last 5 games and Galatasaray took 9 from 5. Galatasaray come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Genclerbirligi won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Galatasaray won 5 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Genclerbirligi score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Galatasaray score 1.9 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Genclerbirligi games and 15 of Galatasaray games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Genclerbirligi won 0 and Galatasaray won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Genclerbirligi 1, Galatasaray 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Genclerbirlirecent form-3%
Galatasarayrecent form+1%

Genclerbirli form L L L D WGalatasaray form L W L W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray: Galatasaray are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Genclerbirligi host Galatasaray in the Super Lig on Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 at Eryaman Stadium. Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray is Galatasaray to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Genclerbirligi form

Genclerbirligi have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Galatasaray form

Galatasaray have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Genclerbirligi won 0, Galatasaray won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Genclerbirligi 1, Galatasaray 2.

Our call

We expect Genclerbirligi to score about 1.3 goals and Galatasaray about 1.8. That points to Galatasaray to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Genclerbirli	Galatasaray
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	12
Draws	4	2
Losses	11	6
Goals scored	16	37
Goals conceded	32	30
Scored per game	0.8	1.9
Conceded per game	1.6	1.5
Home record	3W 3D 4L	7W 2D 0L
Away record	2W 1D 7L	5W 0D 6L
Clean sheets	25%	30%
Both teams scored	35%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	61%	1.64
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.59
Both teams to score	62%	1.60
Genclerbirligi or Draw	52%	1.91
Galatasaray or Draw	72%	1.39
Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.5	19%	5.25
Galatasaray to win and Over 2.5	34%	2.98
Genclerbirligi clean sheet	16%	6.07
Galatasaray clean sheet	26%	3.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.0%

1-29.4%

0-17.1%

2-17.0%

0-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray is Galatasaray to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Genclerbirligi to score 1.3 goals and Galatasaray 1.8.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Genclerbirligi last 20 games and 11 of Galatasaray last 20.

How are Genclerbirligi playing?

How are Galatasaray playing?

What happened when Genclerbirligi and Galatasaray last met?

It ended Genclerbirligi 1, Galatasaray 2. In the last 2 meetings Genclerbirligi won 0 and Galatasaray won 2.

What is the best bet for Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genclerbirli against Galatasaray. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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