Predictions › Turkey › Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK

Super LigSat 21 Nov, 10:30 Turkey time

Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK prediction

Eryaman Stadium

GenclerbirligiHome

1.59 : 1.25

expected goals

Gaziantep FKAway

44%Genclerbirli

26%Draw

29%Gaziantep

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction: Genclerbirligi to win
Chance: 44%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Genclerbirligi 1.6, Gaziantep FK 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score: 57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Genclerbirligi 44%, the draw 26% and Gaziantep FK 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Genclerbirligi the favourite at 2.30.
2
Recent form
Genclerbirligi took 4 points from their last 5 games and Gaziantep FK took 0 from 5. Genclerbirligi come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Genclerbirligi won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Gaziantep FK won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Genclerbirligi score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Gaziantep FK score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Genclerbirligi games and 12 of Gaziantep FK games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Genclerbirligi won 1 and Gaziantep FK won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Genclerbirligi 2, Gaziantep FK 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Genclerbirlirecent form-3%
Gazianteprecent form-7%

Genclerbirli form L W L L DGaziantep form L L L L LHome edge in this league 23% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK: Genclerbirligi shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Genclerbirligi host Gaziantep FK in the Super Lig on Sat 21 Nov, 10:30 at Eryaman Stadium. Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Genclerbirligi form

Genclerbirligi have 6 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Gaziantep FK form

Gaziantep FK have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Genclerbirligi won 1, Gaziantep FK won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Genclerbirligi 2, Gaziantep FK 1.

Our call

We expect Genclerbirligi to score about 1.6 goals and Gaziantep FK about 1.3. That points to Genclerbirligi to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.5 at 3.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Genclerbirli	Gaziantep
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	4
Draws	2	3
Losses	12	13
Goals scored	20	21
Goals conceded	34	36
Scored per game	1.0	1.1
Conceded per game	1.7	1.8
Home record	4W 2D 5L	1W 3D 6L
Away record	2W 0D 7L	3W 0D 7L
Clean sheets	20%	15%
Both teams scored	30%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	55%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Genclerbirligi to win	42%	2.36	2.30	-2.5%
A Draw	26%	3.92	3.40	-13.2%
Gaziantep FK to win	29%	3.44	2.80	-18.7%
Over 2.5 goals	49%	2.04	1.71	-15.9%
Under 2.5 goals	44%	2.28	1.95	-14.2%
Genclerbirligi -0.5	41%	2.45	2.20	-10.2%
Gaziantep FK +0.5	52%	1.91	1.56	-18.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.85
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.16
Both teams to score	57%	1.74
Genclerbirligi or Draw	71%	1.42
Gaziantep FK or Draw	56%	1.80
Genclerbirligi to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.51
Gaziantep FK to win and Over 2.5	18%	5.48
Genclerbirligi clean sheet	29%	3.50
Gaziantep FK clean sheet	20%	4.88

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.3%

2-19.2%

1-08.6%

2-07.4%

1-27.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK?

Our prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK is Genclerbirligi to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Genclerbirligi to score 1.6 goals and Gaziantep FK 1.3.

Will both teams score in Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Genclerbirligi last 20 games and 11 of Gaziantep FK last 20.

How are Genclerbirligi playing?

How are Gaziantep FK playing?

What happened when Genclerbirligi and Gaziantep FK last met?

It ended Genclerbirligi 2, Gaziantep FK 1. In the last 1 meeting Genclerbirligi won 1 and Gaziantep FK won 0.

What is the best bet for Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genclerbirli against Gaziantep. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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