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Predictions › Italy › Genoa vs Juventus
Serie AWed 28 Oct, 19:45 Italy time

Genoa vs Juventus prediction

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

GenoaHome
1.01 : 1.63
expected goals
JuventusAway
23%Genoa
26%Draw
51%Juventus
Eagle safe pickJuventus or Draw
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Genoa vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.29.

Prediction
Juventus to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Genoa 1.0, Juventus 1.6
Best bet
Juventus or Draw at 1.29
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Juventus or Draw
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Juventus to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Genoa 23%, the draw 26% and Juventus 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Genoa took 4 points from their last 5 games and Juventus took 10 from 5. Juventus come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Genoa won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Juventus won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Genoa score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Juventus score 1.6 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Genoa games and 6 of Juventus games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Genoa won 0 and Juventus won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Juventus 2, Genoa 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Juventus or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Genoarecent form+1%
  • Juventusrecent form+4%
  • Genoarest between games-5%
  • Juventusrest between games-5%
Genoa form D W L W DJuventus form D W D W WHome edge in this league 11% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Genoa vs Juventus: Juventus are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Genoa host Juventus in the Serie A on Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. Our prediction for Genoa vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.29.

Genoa form

Genoa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Juventus form

Juventus have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Genoa won 0, Juventus won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Juventus 2, Genoa 0.

Our call

We expect Genoa to score about 1.0 goals and Juventus about 1.6. That points to Juventus to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.29. Our bold bet is Juventus to win and Over 2.5 at 3.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GenoaJuventus
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws36
Losses113
Goals scored1731
Goals conceded2715
Scored per game0.81.6
Conceded per game1.40.8
Home record4W 1D 5L6W 3D 2L
Away record2W 2D 6L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets20%55%
Both teams scored40%35%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.66
Both teams to score52%1.93
Genoa or Draw49%2.04
Juventus or Draw77%1.30
Genoa to win and Over 2.513%7.88
Juventus to win and Over 2.531%3.26
Genoa clean sheet20%5.10
Juventus clean sheet36%2.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
0-110.9%
1-29.6%
0-29.4%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news
Bundesliga

Big Clubs Battle for Juventus Winger Kenan Yildiz

Arsenal, Real Madrid, and Bayern Munich are all chasing Juventus winger Kenan Yildiz as transfer rumors heat up across Europe.

4 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Genoa vs Juventus?

Our prediction for Genoa vs Juventus is Juventus to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Juventus or Draw at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Genoa vs Juventus?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Genoa to score 1.0 goals and Juventus 1.6.

Will both teams score in Genoa vs Juventus?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Genoa last 20 games and 7 of Juventus last 20.

How are Genoa playing?

Genoa have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Juventus playing?

Juventus have 11 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Genoa and Juventus last met?

It ended Juventus 2, Genoa 0. In the last 1 meeting Genoa won 0 and Juventus won 1.

What is the best bet for Genoa vs Juventus?

Juventus or Draw at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Genoa against Juventus. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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