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Predictions › United States › Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves prediction

Centennial Bank Stadium

Georgia State PanthersAway
26.7 : 35.1
projected points
Arkansas State Red WolvesHome
28%Georgia St
72%Arkansas St
Eagle safe pickOver 51.5 points
-292

Quick answer

Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Georgia State Panthers 26.7 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 35.1. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

Prediction
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win
Chance
72%
Projected score
Georgia State Panthers 27, Arkansas State Red Wolves 35
Projected total
61.8 points
Best bet
Over 51.5 points at -292

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 51.5 points
74% chanceFair price -2921 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Georgia St to win
27% chanceFair price +2651 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arkansas State Red Wolves 72% and Georgia State Panthers 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arkansas State Red Wolves won 2 of their last 5 and Georgia State Panthers won 4 of their last 5. Georgia State Panthers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arkansas State Red Wolves won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Georgia State Panthers won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Arkansas State Red Wolves score 25.9 points a game and let in 26.4. Georgia State Panthers score 27.4 and let in 29.9. Their recent games average 52.3 and 57.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 51.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves: Arkansas State Red Wolves are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Arkansas State Red Wolves host Georgia State Panthers in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 at Centennial Bank Stadium. Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Georgia State Panthers 26.7 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 35.1. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

Arkansas State Red Wolves form

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 440 points scored and 449 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Georgia State Panthers form

Georgia State Panthers have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 411 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Georgia State Panthers to score about 26.7 points and Arkansas State Red Wolves about 35.1. That points to Arkansas State Red Wolves to win. Our safest bet is Over 51.5 points at -292. Our bold bet is Georgia St to win at +265.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Arkansas StGeorgia St
Games played1715
Wins85
Losses910
Points scored440411
Points conceded449448
Scored per game25.927.4
Conceded per game26.429.9
Home record5W 4L4W 4L
Away record3W 5L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Arkansas St spreadCoversFair
Arkansas St -15.533%+204
Arkansas St -11.542%+136
Arkansas St -8.550%+101
Arkansas St -5.557%-134
Arkansas St -1.567%-201
Total pointsOverUnder
54.568%32%
58.558%42%
61.551%49%
64.543%57%
68.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Arkansas St +3.5 wins if Arkansas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves is Arkansas State Red Wolves to win, with a 72% chance. We project Georgia State Panthers 26.7 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 35.1. Our best bet is Over 51.5 points at -292.

What is the projected score for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

We project Georgia State Panthers 26.7 and Arkansas State Red Wolves 35.1, about 61.8 points in total.

How are Arkansas State Red Wolves playing?

Arkansas State Red Wolves have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 440 points scored and 449 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Georgia State Panthers playing?

Georgia State Panthers have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 411 points scored and 448 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Georgia State Panthers vs Arkansas State Red Wolves?

Over 51.5 points at -292, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Arkansas St against Georgia St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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