Predictions › United States › Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 16:00 United States time

Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd prediction

Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Georgia State PanthersAway
28.6 : 31.0
projected points
Marshall Thundering HerdHome
49%Georgia St
51%Marshall
Eagle safe pickOver 49.5 points
-296

Quick answer

Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Georgia State Panthers 28.6 and Marshall Thundering Herd 31.0. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -296.

Prediction
Marshall Thundering Herd to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Georgia State Panthers 29, Marshall Thundering Herd 31
Projected total
59.6 points
Best bet
Over 49.5 points at -296

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 49.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2961 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Georgia St to win
42% chanceFair price +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Marshall Thundering Herd 51% and Georgia State Panthers 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 2 of their last 5 and Georgia State Panthers won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Marshall Thundering Herd won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Georgia State Panthers won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Marshall Thundering Herd score 28.6 points a game and let in 30.7. Georgia State Panthers score 27.6 and let in 31.0. Their recent games average 59.3 and 58.6 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 and Georgia State Panthers won 0. The last one ended Georgia State Panthers 18, Marshall Thundering Herd 30.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 49.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd: Marshall Thundering Herd shade it

The big picture

Marshall Thundering Herd host Georgia State Panthers in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 16:00 at Joan C. Edwards Stadium. Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Georgia State Panthers 28.6 and Marshall Thundering Herd 31.0. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -296.

Marshall Thundering Herd form

Marshall Thundering Herd have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 543 points scored and 584 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Georgia State Panthers form

Georgia State Panthers have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 524 points scored and 589 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Marshall Thundering Herd won 1, Georgia State Panthers won 0. Last time out it finished Georgia State Panthers 18, Marshall Thundering Herd 30.

Our call

We expect Georgia State Panthers to score about 28.6 points and Marshall Thundering Herd about 31.0. That points to Marshall Thundering Herd to win. Our safest bet is Over 49.5 points at -296. Our bold bet is Georgia St to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

MarshallGeorgia St
Games played1919
Wins106
Losses913
Points scored543524
Points conceded584589
Scored per game28.627.6
Conceded per game30.731.0
Home record6W 3L4W 5L
Away record4W 6L2W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Marshall spreadCoversFair
Marshall -9.533%+204
Marshall -5.542%+136
Marshall -2.550%+101
Marshall +0.557%-134
Marshall +4.567%-200
Total pointsOverUnder
52.567%33%
56.558%42%
59.550%50%
62.543%57%
66.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Marshall +3.5 wins if Marshall win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Our prediction for Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd is Marshall Thundering Herd to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Georgia State Panthers 28.6 and Marshall Thundering Herd 31.0. Our best bet is Over 49.5 points at -296.

What is the projected score for Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

We project Georgia State Panthers 28.6 and Marshall Thundering Herd 31.0, about 59.6 points in total.

How are Marshall Thundering Herd playing?

Marshall Thundering Herd have 10 wins and 9 losses in their last 19 games, with 543 points scored and 584 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Georgia State Panthers playing?

Georgia State Panthers have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 19 games, with 524 points scored and 589 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Marshall Thundering Herd and Georgia State Panthers last met?

It ended Georgia State Panthers 18, Marshall Thundering Herd 30. In the last 1 meeting Marshall Thundering Herd won 1 and Georgia State Panthers won 0.

What is the best bet for Georgia State Panthers vs Marshall Thundering Herd?

Over 49.5 points at -296, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Marshall against Georgia St. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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