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Predictions › Spain › Getafe vs Atlético Madrid
LaLigaSun 22 Nov, 20:00 Spain time

Getafe vs Atlético Madrid prediction

Estadio Coliseum

GetafeHome
0.88 : 1.52
expected goals
Atlético MadridAway
21%Getafe
27%Draw
52%Atlético
Eagle safe pickAtlético Madrid or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Atlético Madrid to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
0-1
Expected goals
Getafe 0.9, Atlético Madrid 1.5
Best bet
Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Atlético Madrid or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

A Draw
27% chancePrice 3.85+3.4% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Getafe 21%, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid 52%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Madrid the favourite at 1.59.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Getafe took 3 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Madrid took 7 from 5. Atlético Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Getafe won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Atlético Madrid won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Getafe score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. Atlético Madrid score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Getafe games and 11 of Atlético Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Getafe won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Madrid 1, Getafe 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Atlético Madrid or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Getaferecent form-1%
Getafe form L L W W LAtlético form L L W W DHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Getafe vs Atlético Madrid: Atlético Madrid are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Getafe host Atlético Madrid in the LaLiga on Sun 22 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Coliseum. Our prediction for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27.

Getafe form

Getafe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Getafe won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Madrid 1, Getafe 0.

Our call

We expect Getafe to score about 0.9 goals and Atlético Madrid about 1.5. That points to Atlético Madrid to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GetafeAtlético
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws52
Losses106
Goals scored1531
Goals conceded2922
Scored per game0.81.6
Conceded per game1.41.1
Home record5W 3D 3L6W 1D 3L
Away record0W 2D 7L6W 1D 3L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored35%45%
Over 2.5 goals30%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Getafe to win20%4.915.50+11.9%
A Draw27%3.723.85+3.4%
Atlético Madrid to win48%2.091.59-24.1%
Over 2.5 goals44%2.291.95-14.6%
Under 2.5 goals49%2.021.77-12.4%
Getafe +0.541%2.432.25-7.4%
Atlético Madrid -0.552%1.921.53-20.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.32
Over 3.5 goals22%4.51
Both teams to score47%2.15
Getafe or Draw48%2.06
Atlético Madrid or Draw79%1.27
Getafe to win and Over 2.510%9.68
Atlético Madrid to win and Over 2.528%3.57
Getafe clean sheet22%4.57
Atlético Madrid clean sheet41%2.41

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-113.0%
1-112.9%
0-210.5%
0-09.8%
1-29.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

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Questions people ask

Who will win Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Our prediction for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Getafe to score 0.9 goals and Atlético Madrid 1.5.

Will both teams score in Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Getafe last 20 games and 9 of Atlético Madrid last 20.

How are Getafe playing?

Getafe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 12 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 22 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Getafe and Atlético Madrid last met?

It ended Atlético Madrid 1, Getafe 0. In the last 2 meetings Getafe won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 2.

What is the best bet for Getafe vs Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Getafe against Atlético. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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