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Predictions › Portugal › Gil Vicente vs FC Porto
Primeira LigaSat 24 Oct, 19:30 Portugal time

Gil Vicente vs FC Porto prediction

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil VicenteHome
0.94 : 1.51
expected goals
FC PortoAway
23%Gil Vicente
27%Draw
50%FC Porto
Eagle safe pickFC Porto or Draw
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto is FC Porto to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Porto or Draw at 1.31.

Prediction
FC Porto to win
Chance
50%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Gil Vicente 0.9, FC Porto 1.5
Best bet
FC Porto or Draw at 1.31
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

FC Porto or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

FC Porto to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.851 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gil Vicente 23%, the draw 27% and FC Porto 50%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gil Vicente took 5 points from their last 5 games and FC Porto took 9 from 5. FC Porto come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gil Vicente won 5 of their last 11 games at home. FC Porto won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gil Vicente score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. FC Porto score 1.9 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Gil Vicente games and 11 of FC Porto games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Gil Vicente won 0 and FC Porto won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended FC Porto 3, Gil Vicente 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    FC Porto or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gil Vicenterecent form-1%
  • FC Portorecent form+3%
  • FC Portorest between games-5%
Gil Vicente form D W D L LFC Porto form D W W W LHome edge in this league 19% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gil Vicente vs FC Porto: FC Porto are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gil Vicente host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto is FC Porto to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Porto or Draw at 1.31.

Gil Vicente form

Gil Vicente have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

FC Porto form

FC Porto have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gil Vicente won 0, FC Porto won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished FC Porto 3, Gil Vicente 0.

Our call

We expect Gil Vicente to score about 0.9 goals and FC Porto about 1.5. That points to FC Porto to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is FC Porto or Draw at 1.31. Our bold bet is FC Porto to win and Over 2.5 at 3.85.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gil VicenteFC Porto
Games played2020
Wins614
Draws62
Losses84
Goals scored2237
Goals conceded2619
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game1.30.9
Home record5W 2D 4L7W 2D 1L
Away record1W 4D 4L7W 0D 3L
Clean sheets30%35%
Both teams scored50%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.25
Over 3.5 goals23%4.30
Both teams to score48%2.07
Gil Vicente or Draw50%1.99
FC Porto or Draw77%1.30
Gil Vicente to win and Over 2.512%8.61
FC Porto to win and Over 2.528%3.61
Gil Vicente clean sheet22%4.54
FC Porto clean sheet39%2.57

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
0-112.3%
0-29.8%
0-09.3%
1-29.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

Our prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto is FC Porto to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is FC Porto or Draw at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-2. We expect Gil Vicente to score 0.9 goals and FC Porto 1.5.

Will both teams score in Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Gil Vicente last 20 games and 11 of FC Porto last 20.

How are Gil Vicente playing?

Gil Vicente have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, D, newest first.

How are FC Porto playing?

FC Porto have 14 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Gil Vicente and FC Porto last met?

It ended FC Porto 3, Gil Vicente 0. In the last 1 meeting Gil Vicente won 0 and FC Porto won 1.

What is the best bet for Gil Vicente vs FC Porto?

FC Porto or Draw at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gil Vicente against FC Porto. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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