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Predictions › Argentina › Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction

Juan Carmelo Zerillo (El Bosque)

Gimnasia La PlataHome
0.92 : 1.05
expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba)Away
30%Gimnasia LP
33%Draw
37%Belgrano
Eagle safe pickBelgrano (Córdoba) or Draw
1.42

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
37%
Most likely score
0-0
Expected goals
Gimnasia La Plata 0.9, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1
Best bet
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42
Both teams to score
40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw
71% chanceFair price 1.421 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0
15% chanceFair price 6.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gimnasia La Plata 30%, the draw 33% and Belgrano (Córdoba) 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gimnasia La Plata took 9 points from their last 5 games and Belgrano (Córdoba) took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gimnasia La Plata won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gimnasia La Plata score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.3 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Gimnasia La Plata games and 6 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Gimnasia La Plata won 1 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 0, Gimnasia La Plata 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw has a 71% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gimnasia LPrecent form+1%
  • Belgrano recent form+3%
Gimnasia LP form D W D D DBelgrano form D L W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba): Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gimnasia La Plata host Belgrano (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Juan Carmelo Zerillo (El Bosque). Our prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42.

Gimnasia La Plata form

Gimnasia La Plata have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gimnasia La Plata won 1, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Belgrano (Córdoba) 0, Gimnasia La Plata 1.

Our call

We expect Gimnasia La Plata to score about 0.9 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) about 1.1. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gimnasia LPBelgrano
Games played2020
Wins1210
Draws45
Losses45
Goals scored2825
Goals conceded2115
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.10.8
Home record6W 2D 1L5W 1D 4L
Away record6W 2D 3L5W 4D 1L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored55%35%
Over 2.5 goals45%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals59%1.69
Over 2.5 goals31%3.18
Over 3.5 goals14%7.31
Both teams to score40%2.51
Gimnasia La Plata or Draw63%1.59
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw70%1.43
Gimnasia La Plata to win and Over 2.512%8.13
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.515%6.45
Gimnasia La Plata clean sheet35%2.85
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet40%2.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-014.8%
1-114.3%
0-113.9%
1-012.1%
0-27.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42.

What is the score prediction for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-1. We expect Gimnasia La Plata to score 0.9 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Gimnasia La Plata last 20 games and 7 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Gimnasia La Plata playing?

Gimnasia La Plata have 12 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Gimnasia La Plata and Belgrano (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 0, Gimnasia La Plata 1. In the last 1 meeting Gimnasia La Plata won 1 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 0.

What is the best bet for Gimnasia La Plata vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw at 1.42, with a 71% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gimnasia LP against Belgrano . A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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