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Predictions › Argentina › Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Argentina time

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia prediction

Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie

Gimnasia (Mendoza)Home
1.38 : 0.71
expected goals
Independiente RivadaviaAway
52%Gimnasia (M)
29%Draw
18%Ind. Rivadavia
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.4, Independiente Rivadavia 0.7
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
39%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0
16% chanceFair price 6.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gimnasia (Mendoza) 52%, the draw 29% and Independiente Rivadavia 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 4 points from their last 5 games and Independiente Rivadavia took 5 from 5. Independiente Rivadavia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Independiente Rivadavia won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Independiente Rivadavia score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games and 11 of Independiente Rivadavia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Independiente Rivadavia won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Independiente Rivadavia 5, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gimnasia (M)recent form-1%
  • Ind. Rivadaviarest between games-2%
Gimnasia (M) form D L W L DInd. Rivadavia form D D L D WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia: Gimnasia (Mendoza) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gimnasia (Mendoza) host Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie. Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

Independiente Rivadavia form

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0, Independiente Rivadavia won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente Rivadavia 5, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.

Our call

We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score about 1.4 goals and Independiente Rivadavia about 0.7. That points to Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gimnasia (M)Ind. Rivadavia
Games played2020
Wins97
Draws37
Losses86
Goals scored2427
Goals conceded2529
Scored per game1.21.4
Conceded per game1.31.4
Home record7W 2D 1L4W 4D 1L
Away record2W 1D 7L3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets30%20%
Both teams scored40%65%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals62%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.88
Over 3.5 goals16%6.28
Both teams to score39%2.59
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw82%1.22
Independiente Rivadavia or Draw48%2.10
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.524%4.13
Independiente Rivadavia to win and Over 2.57%13.78
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet49%2.03
Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet25%3.99

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-016.4%
0-013.1%
1-112.8%
2-011.8%
2-18.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score 1.4 goals and Independiente Rivadavia 0.7.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Both teams to score has a 39% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20 games and 13 of Independiente Rivadavia last 20.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.

How are Independiente Rivadavia playing?

Independiente Rivadavia have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Gimnasia (Mendoza) and Independiente Rivadavia last met?

It ended Independiente Rivadavia 5, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1. In the last 1 meeting Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Independiente Rivadavia won 1.

What is the best bet for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gimnasia (M) against Ind. Rivadavia. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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