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Predictions › Argentina › Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 12 Oct, 21:30 Argentina time

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys prediction

Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie

Gimnasia (Mendoza)Home
1.57 : 0.82
expected goals
Newell's Old BoysAway
54%Gimnasia (M)
27%Draw
19%Newell's
Eagle safe pickGimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27.

Prediction
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win
Chance
54%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.6, Newell's Old Boys 0.8
Best bet
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price 3.461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Gimnasia (Mendoza) 54%, the draw 27% and Newell's Old Boys 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 8 points from their last 5 games and Newell's Old Boys took 9 from 5. Newell's Old Boys come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Newell's Old Boys won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Newell's Old Boys score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games and 6 of Newell's Old Boys games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gimnasia (M)recent form+1%
  • Newell'srecent form+3%
Gimnasia (M) form D L D W WNewell's form W D D D WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys: Gimnasia (Mendoza) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gimnasia (Mendoza) host Newell's Old Boys in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 12 Oct, 21:30 at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie. Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Newell's Old Boys form

Newell's Old Boys have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0, Newell's Old Boys won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Newell's Old Boys 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0.

Our call

We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score about 1.6 goals and Newell's Old Boys about 0.8. That points to Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.46.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Gimnasia (M)Newell's
Games played2020
Wins87
Draws68
Losses65
Goals scored2521
Goals conceded2323
Scored per game1.31.1
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record6W 3D 1L4W 5D 2L
Away record2W 3D 5L3W 3D 3L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%4.53
Both teams to score45%2.21
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw81%1.23
Newell's Old Boys or Draw46%2.20
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.530%3.38
Newell's Old Boys to win and Over 2.59%11.11
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet44%2.28
Newell's Old Boys clean sheet21%4.83

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.6%
1-112.5%
2-011.3%
0-09.8%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 54% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-0. We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score 1.6 goals and Newell's Old Boys 0.8.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20 games and 10 of Newell's Old Boys last 20.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Newell's Old Boys playing?

Newell's Old Boys have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Gimnasia (Mendoza) and Newell's Old Boys last met?

It ended Newell's Old Boys 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 0. In the last 1 meeting Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Newell's Old Boys won 1.

What is the best bet for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Newell's Old Boys?

Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gimnasia (M) against Newell's. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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