Predictions › Argentina › Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense

Argentina Liga ProfesionalFri 23 Oct, 21:30 Argentina time

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense prediction

Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie

Gimnasia (Mendoza)Home

1.24 : 0.79

expected goals

PlatenseAway

46%Gimnasia (M)

31%Draw

23%Platense

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win
Chance: 46%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.2, Platense 0.8
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-0

16% chanceFair price 6.451 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Gimnasia (Mendoza) 46%, the draw 31% and Platense 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Gimnasia (Mendoza) took 5 points from their last 5 games and Platense took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Platense won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Gimnasia (Mendoza) score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.2. Platense score 0.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) games and 8 of Platense games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Platense won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Platense 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Gimnasia (M)recent form-3%
Platenserecent form+1%
Gimnasia (M)rest between games-5%
Platenserest between games-2%

Gimnasia (M) form D L D L DPlatense form D D W L WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense: Gimnasia (Mendoza) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Gimnasia (Mendoza) host Platense in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Fri 23 Oct, 21:30 at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie. Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

Gimnasia (Mendoza) form

Gimnasia (Mendoza) have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Platense form

Platense have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0, Platense won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Platense 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1.

Our call

We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score about 1.2 goals and Platense about 0.8. That points to Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-0 at 6.45.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Gimnasia (M)	Platense
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	4
Draws	4	8
Losses	7	8
Goals scored	24	19
Goals conceded	24	27
Scored per game	1.2	0.9
Conceded per game	1.2	1.4
Home record	7W 2D 1L	1W 6D 3L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	35%	15%
Both teams scored	40%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	61%	1.64
Over 2.5 goals	33%	3.02
Over 3.5 goals	15%	6.76
Both teams to score	40%	2.53
Gimnasia (Mendoza) or Draw	77%	1.30
Platense or Draw	54%	1.85
Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win and Over 2.5	20%	4.91
Platense to win and Over 2.5	9%	10.87
Gimnasia (Mendoza) clean sheet	45%	2.21
Platense clean sheet	29%	3.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-015.5%

0-013.9%

1-113.6%

2-010.1%

0-19.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense?

Our prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense is Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-1. We expect Gimnasia (Mendoza) to score 1.2 goals and Platense 0.8.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Gimnasia (Mendoza) last 20 games and 12 of Platense last 20.

How are Gimnasia (Mendoza) playing?

How are Platense playing?

What happened when Gimnasia (Mendoza) and Platense last met?

It ended Platense 1, Gimnasia (Mendoza) 1. In the last 1 meeting Gimnasia (Mendoza) won 0 and Platense won 0.

What is the best bet for Gimnasia (Mendoza) vs Platense?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Gimnasia (M) against Platense. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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