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Predictions › Spain › Girona vs Eibar
LaLiga 2Sun 22 Nov, 17:30 Spain time

Girona vs Eibar prediction

Estadi Montilivi

GironaHome
1.46 : 0.98
expected goals
EibarAway
47%Girona
28%Draw
25%Eibar
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Girona vs Eibar is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Girona to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Girona 1.5, Eibar 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Girona to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.911 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Girona 47%, the draw 28% and Eibar 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Girona took 7 points from their last 5 games and Eibar took 5 from 5. Girona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Girona won 4 of their last 12 games at home. Eibar won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Girona score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Eibar score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Girona games and 12 of Eibar games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gironarecent form+1%
  • Eibarrecent form-3%
Girona form L L W W WEibar form D D L D LHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Girona vs Eibar: Girona are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Girona host Eibar in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 22 Nov, 17:30 at Estadi Montilivi. Our prediction for Girona vs Eibar is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Girona form

Girona have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

Eibar form

Eibar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Girona to score about 1.5 goals and Eibar about 1.0. That points to Girona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Girona to win and Over 2.5 at 3.91.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GironaEibar
Games played2020
Wins611
Draws63
Losses86
Goals scored2833
Goals conceded2223
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.11.1
Home record4W 4D 4L5W 2D 2L
Away record2W 2D 4L6W 1D 4L
Clean sheets20%40%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals35%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.37
Both teams to score49%2.06
Girona or Draw75%1.33
Eibar or Draw53%1.90
Girona to win and Over 2.526%3.83
Eibar to win and Over 2.513%7.93
Girona clean sheet38%2.66
Eibar clean sheet23%4.29

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-012.0%
0-09.5%
2-09.3%
2-19.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Girona vs Eibar?

Our prediction for Girona vs Eibar is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Girona vs Eibar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Girona to score 1.5 goals and Eibar 1.0.

Will both teams score in Girona vs Eibar?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Girona last 20 games and 11 of Eibar last 20.

How are Girona playing?

Girona have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Eibar playing?

Eibar have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Girona vs Eibar?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Girona against Eibar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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