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Predictions › Spain › Girona vs FC Andorra
LaLiga 2Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 Spain time

Girona vs FC Andorra prediction

Estadi Montilivi

GironaHome
1.65 : 1.19
expected goals
FC AndorraAway
47%Girona
26%Draw
27%FC Andorra
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Girona vs FC Andorra is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Girona to win
Chance
47%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Girona 1.6, FC Andorra 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Girona to win and Over 2.5
30% chanceFair price 3.331 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Girona 47%, the draw 26% and FC Andorra 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Girona took 10 points from their last 5 games and FC Andorra took 4 from 5. Girona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Girona won 4 of their last 11 games at home. FC Andorra won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Girona score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. FC Andorra score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Girona games and 11 of FC Andorra games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Gironarecent form+3%
  • FC Andorrarecent form-3%
Girona form D W W L WFC Andorra form D W L L LHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Girona vs FC Andorra: Girona are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Girona host FC Andorra in the LaLiga 2 on Sun 18 Oct, 16:30 at Estadi Montilivi. Our prediction for Girona vs FC Andorra is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Girona form

Girona have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

FC Andorra form

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Girona to score about 1.6 goals and FC Andorra about 1.2. That points to Girona to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Girona to win and Over 2.5 at 3.33.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GironaFC Andorra
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws72
Losses710
Goals scored2637
Goals conceded2128
Scored per game1.31.9
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record4W 4D 3L4W 1D 6L
Away record2W 3D 4L4W 1D 4L
Clean sheets25%25%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals35%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals54%1.85
Over 3.5 goals32%3.16
Both teams to score57%1.76
Girona or Draw73%1.37
FC Andorra or Draw53%1.90
Girona to win and Over 2.530%3.28
FC Andorra to win and Over 2.516%6.06
Girona clean sheet30%3.29
FC Andorra clean sheet19%5.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.2%
2-19.5%
1-08.9%
2-07.9%
1-26.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Girona vs FC Andorra?

Our prediction for Girona vs FC Andorra is Girona to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Girona vs FC Andorra?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Girona to score 1.6 goals and FC Andorra 1.2.

Will both teams score in Girona vs FC Andorra?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Girona last 20 games and 9 of FC Andorra last 20.

How are Girona playing?

Girona have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are FC Andorra playing?

FC Andorra have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Girona vs FC Andorra?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Girona against FC Andorra. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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