Predictions › Netherlands › Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

EredivisieFri 23 Oct, 18:00 Netherlands time

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar prediction

De Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead EaglesHome

1.85 : 1.00

expected goals

TelstarAway

57%Go Ahead Eagles

24%Draw

20%Telstar

Eagle safe pickGo Ahead Eagles or Draw

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28.

Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles to win
Chance: 57%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles 1.9, Telstar 1.0
Best bet: Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28
Both teams to score: 54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Go Ahead Eagles or Draw

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5

36% chanceFair price 2.801 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Go Ahead Eagles 57%, the draw 24% and Telstar 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Go Ahead Eagles took 4 points from their last 5 games and Telstar took 3 from 5. Go Ahead Eagles come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Go Ahead Eagles won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Telstar won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Go Ahead Eagles score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Telstar score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Go Ahead Eagles games and 14 of Telstar games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Go Ahead Eagles won 0 and Telstar won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Go Ahead Eagles 1, Telstar 1.
6
The safest bet
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Go Ahead Eaglesrecent form-1%
Telstarrecent form-3%
Telstarrest between games-2%

Go Ahead Eagles form D D D D LTelstar form D L D L DHome edge in this league 17% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar: Go Ahead Eagles are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Go Ahead Eagles host Telstar in the Eredivisie on Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 at De Adelaarshorst. Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28.

Go Ahead Eagles form

Go Ahead Eagles have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 40 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Telstar form

Telstar have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Go Ahead Eagles won 0, Telstar won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Go Ahead Eagles 1, Telstar 1.

Our call

We expect Go Ahead Eagles to score about 1.9 goals and Telstar about 1.0. That points to Go Ahead Eagles to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28. Our bold bet is Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5 at 2.80.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Go Ahead Eagles	Telstar
Games played	20	20
Wins	6	7
Draws	8	5
Losses	6	8
Goals scored	40	30
Goals conceded	32	31
Scored per game	2.0	1.5
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	5W 3D 2L	4W 3D 3L
Away record	1W 5D 4L	3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets	30%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.28
Over 2.5 goals	54%	1.84
Over 3.5 goals	32%	3.14
Both teams to score	54%	1.85
Go Ahead Eagles or Draw	80%	1.24
Telstar or Draw	43%	2.30
Go Ahead Eagles to win and Over 2.5	37%	2.73
Telstar to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.69
Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet	37%	2.72
Telstar clean sheet	16%	6.34

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.4%

1-010.1%

2-19.9%

2-09.9%

0-06.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

Our prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar is Go Ahead Eagles to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Go Ahead Eagles to score 1.9 goals and Telstar 1.0.

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Go Ahead Eagles last 20 games and 12 of Telstar last 20.

How are Go Ahead Eagles playing?

How are Telstar playing?

What happened when Go Ahead Eagles and Telstar last met?

It ended Go Ahead Eagles 1, Telstar 1. In the last 2 meetings Go Ahead Eagles won 0 and Telstar won 1.

What is the best bet for Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

Go Ahead Eagles or Draw at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Go Ahead Eagles against Telstar. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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